GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·ALST radioASU / Hornets Radio Network
UAPB radioLion Sports Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Alabama State a 79% chance.
SeriesAlabama State leads 9–2 · Alabama State won the last meeting, 44–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
UAPB win
21% One-score game
27%
21% One-score game
27%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SRS) ALST
Home-field edge UAPB
Model projection ALST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from last season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Alabama St @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Your sims:Sims: UAPB 0, ALST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Alabama State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Stats ComparisonALST vs UAPB Stats Comparison
2026 stats| Alabama StateALST | Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | PPG | 24.5 |
| 8.5 | PA/G | 34.5 |
| 314.5 | YDS/G | 292 |
| 160 | PASS/G | 170.5 |
| 154.5 | RUSH/G | 121.5 |
| 5.5 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| 30.4% | 3RD DOWN | 20.0% |
| +2 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.18 |
| 0.03 | DEF PPA | 0.28 |
| 39.3% | OFF SUCCESS | 34.0% |
| 32.1% | DEF SUCCESS | 50.3% |
| 1.34 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.75 |
2026 season stats and 2025 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Golden Lion StadiumLocationPine Bluff, AR
Capacity16,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2000
Elevation222 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Alabama State or Arkansas-Pine Bluff?
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