CFB Vibes Model Track Record 2026

2026 SEASON TO DATE

418-92 STRAIGHT UP · 510 GAMES · BRIER .126

Record418-92Straight-up picks. The pick is whichever team the model gave more than 50%.

Brier score.126How close the win percentages were to what happened. Lower is better; a coin flip on every game scores .250.

Coverage94%Share of games the model could price. 36 left unpriced.

WEEK 8 PICKS

56 GAMES

Picks lock at kickoff. Numbers can move until then.TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	KICKOFF	TV
Missouri State@Delaware	Delaware	57%	Tue, Oct 20 · 7:00 PM EDT	ESPNU
Middle Tennessee@Florida International	Florida International	74%	Tue, Oct 20 · 7:00 PM EDT	CBSSN
South Alabama@Marshall	South Alabama	57%	Tue, Oct 20 · 7:30 PM EDT	ESPN2
New Mexico State@Sam Houston	New Mexico State	57%	Wed, Oct 21 · 7:00 PM CDT	ESPN2
Liberty@Kennesaw State	Liberty	74%	Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM EDT	CBSSN
James Madison@App State	James Madison	74%	Thu, Oct 22 · 7:00 PM EDT	ESPNU
East Carolina@Memphis	Memphis	74%	Thu, Oct 22 · 6:30 PM CDT	ESPN2
Massachusetts@UConn	UConn	83%	Fri, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM EDT	CBSSN
Duke@Virginia	Virginia	53%	Fri, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM EDT	ESPN
Army@Tulsa	Tulsa	52%	Fri, Oct 23 · 7:30 PM CDT	ESPN2
Air Force@Wyoming	Air Force	64%	Fri, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM MDT	The CW
NC State@Stanford	NC State	67%	Fri, Oct 23 · 7:30 PM PDT	ESPN
Rutgers@Northwestern	Northwestern	84%	Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM CDT	TBD
Western Michigan@Toledo	Toledo	58%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM EDT	CBSSN
Rice@Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic	72%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM EDT	ESPNU
West Virginia@TCU	TCU	71%	Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM CDT	ESPN2
California@SMU	SMU	88%	Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM CDT	The CW
LSU@Auburn	LSU	71%	Sat, Oct 24 · 11:00 AM CDT	ABC
Indiana@Michigan	Indiana	67%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM EDT	FOX
Pittsburgh@Miami	Miami	91%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM EDT	ESPN
Texas Tech@Cincinnati	Texas Tech	74%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM EDT	FS1
Miami (OH)@Central Michigan	Miami (OH)	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 1:00 PM EDT	TBD
Akron@Kent State	Kent State	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 1:00 PM EDT	TBD
Baylor@Kansas	Baylor	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM CDT	TNT
Oregon@Illinois	Oregon	72%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:00 PM CDT	BTN
Michigan State@UCLA	UCLA	81%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:30 PM PDT	CBS
Iowa@Minnesota	Iowa	67%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:30 PM CDT	FS1
BYU@UCF	BYU	66%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	FOX
Texas A&M@Alabama	Alabama	81%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:30 PM CDT	ABC
Oklahoma@Mississippi State	Oklahoma	60%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:30 PM CDT	SEC Network
North Texas@Navy	North Texas	55%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	CBSSN
Tennessee@South Carolina	South Carolina	56%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	ESPN
Hawai'i@Northern Illinois	Hawai'i	60%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:30 PM CDT	TBD
Bowling Green@Buffalo	Buffalo	58%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	TBD
Boston College@Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	61%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	ACC Network
Sacramento State@Ball State	Ball State	81%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:30 PM EDT	TBD
Kansas State@Arizona State	Kansas State	59%	Sat, Oct 24 · 12:45 PM MST	ESPN2
UL Monroe@Troy	Troy	83%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:00 PM CDT	TBD
Eastern Michigan@Ohio	Ohio	77%	Sat, Oct 24 · 4:00 PM EDT	ESPNU
Old Dominion@Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	77%	Sat, Oct 24 · 4:00 PM CDT	TBD
San José State@Nevada	Nevada	64%	Sat, Oct 24 · 2:00 PM PDT	TBD
Louisiana@Southern Miss	Louisiana	73%	Sat, Oct 24 · 4:00 PM CDT	TBD
Boise State@Washington State	Boise State	79%	Sat, Oct 24 · 3:00 PM PDT	USA Net
San Diego State@Colorado State	San Diego State	56%	Sat, Oct 24 · 4:30 PM MDT	The CW
Colorado@Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	80%	Sat, Oct 24 · 6:00 PM CDT	FS1
Virginia Tech@Clemson	Clemson	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 7:00 PM EDT	ESPN
Georgia State@Arkansas State	Georgia State	55%	Sat, Oct 24 · 6:00 PM CDT	TBD
Iowa State@Arizona	Arizona	74%	Sat, Oct 24 · 4:30 PM MST	ESPN2
USC@Wisconsin	USC	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 6:30 PM CDT	NBC
Syracuse@North Carolina	North Carolina	71%	Sat, Oct 24 · 7:30 PM EDT	ACC Network
Utah State@Texas State	Texas State	79%	Sat, Oct 24 · 6:30 PM CDT	CBSSN
Vanderbilt@Kentucky	Kentucky	76%	Sat, Oct 24 · 7:30 PM EDT	SEC Network
Ole Miss@Texas	Texas	59%	Sat, Oct 24 · 6:30 PM CDT	ABC
UTSA@Tulane	UTSA	57%	Sat, Oct 24 · 7:00 PM CDT	ESPNU
North Dakota State@New Mexico	New Mexico	64%	Sat, Oct 24 · 8:00 PM MDT	The CW
Houston@Utah	Utah	66%	Sat, Oct 24 · 8:15 PM MDT	ESPN

WEEK 7

43-19 · BRIER .206

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 33 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Delaware@Middle Tennessee	Delaware	53%	MTSU 33, DEL 30	MISS
Florida International@Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	58%	JXST 27, FIU 24	HIT
Kennesaw State@Missouri State	Kennesaw State	56%	Missouri St 24, Kennesaw St 21	MISS
Western Kentucky@Sam Houston	Western Kentucky	52%	WKU 16, SHSU 3	HIT
Georgia Southern@Old Dominion	Georgia Southern	58%	GASO 23, ODU 15	HIT
East Carolina@UAB	East Carolina	62%	UAB 30, East Carolina 17 (OT)	MISS
Memphis@Tulane	Memphis	65%	Tulane 31, Memphis 17	MISS
Washington@Purdue	Purdue	58%	Washington 38, Purdue 26	MISS
App State@Coastal Carolina	App State	53%	App St 35, Coastal Carolina 32	HIT
Florida@Texas	Texas	78%	Florida 27, Texas 24	MISS
Ball State@Bowling Green	Bowling Green	65%	Ball St 32, Bowling Green 31 (OT)	MISS
Cincinnati@West Virginia	West Virginia	54%	WVU 45, CIN 42	HIT
Florida Atlantic@Army	Army	54%	Army 56, Florida Atlantic 24	HIT
Pittsburgh@Boston College	Pittsburgh	66%	BC 27, PITT 21	MISS
Ohio State@Indiana	Ohio State	56%	Ohio State 19, Indiana 15	HIT
Kansas@Kansas State	Kansas State	58%	Kansas State 35, Kansas 24	HIT
Rutgers@Maryland	Maryland	65%	Rutgers 37, Maryland 30	MISS
Charlotte@Temple	Temple	88%	Charlotte 38, Temple 31	MISS
North Carolina@Duke	Duke	58%	North Carolina 24, Duke 20	MISS
Alabama@Tennessee	Alabama	69%	Tennessee 26, Alabama 10	MISS
Auburn@Georgia	Georgia	89%	Auburn 27, Georgia 24	MISS
UNLV@Air Force	UNLV	52%	Air Force 41, UNLV 31	MISS
Troy@Louisiana	Louisiana	58%	Louisiana 33, Troy 6	HIT
Arkansas@Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	64%	Arkansas 31, Vanderbilt 21	MISS
TCU@Baylor	Baylor	64%	TCU 17, Baylor 6	MISS
Wisconsin@UCLA	UCLA	56%	UCLA 17, Wisconsin 7	HIT
Notre Dame@BYU	Notre Dame	74%	BYU 28, Notre Dame 24	MISS
Kentucky@Oklahoma	Oklahoma	66%	Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13	MISS
Fresno State@San Diego State	Fresno State	67%	San Diego St 26, Fresno St 23	MISS

Show the other 33 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Colorado State@Texas State	Texas State	81%	Texas St 66, Colorado St 27	HIT
Mississippi State@LSU	LSU	87%	LSU 31, Mississippi State 0	HIT
Virginia@SMU	SMU	74%	SMU 23, Virginia 13	HIT
Northwestern@Michigan State	Northwestern	66%	NU 24, MSU 21	HIT
Georgia State@James Madison	James Madison	69%	JMU 49, GAST 22	HIT
Charleston Southern@Clemson	Clemson	99%	CLEM 37, CHSO 0	HIT
The Citadel@Texas A&M	Texas A&M	99%	Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 0	HIT
Massachusetts@Buffalo	Buffalo	66%	Buffalo 25, Massachusetts 18 (OT)	HIT
Western Michigan@Central Michigan	Western Michigan	68%	WMU 21, CMU 14	HIT
Penn State@Michigan	Michigan	64%	Michigan 21, Penn State 18	HIT
Akron@Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	72%	Miami (OH) 34, Akron 14	HIT
Arizona State@Texas Tech	Texas Tech	83%	Texas Tech 53, Arizona St 25	HIT
Toledo@Eastern Michigan	Toledo	67%	Toledo 34, Eastern Michigan 14	HIT
Northern Illinois@Wyoming	Wyoming	69%	WYO 41, NIU 23	HIT
Georgia Tech@Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	70%	VT 34, GT 24	HIT
Missouri@Ole Miss	Ole Miss	62%	Ole Miss 31, Missouri 3	HIT
Tulsa@Rice	Tulsa	62%	Tulsa 38, Rice 17	HIT
Washington State@Oregon State	Oregon State	88%	Oregon St 48, Washington St 30	HIT
Kent State@South Florida	South Florida	90%	South Florida 29, Kent State 2	HIT
Florida State@Miami	Miami	89%	Miami 43, Florida State 35 (OT)	HIT
Arkansas State@Southern Miss	Arkansas State	66%	ARST 23, USM 13	HIT
Nevada@North Dakota State	North Dakota State	81%	North Dakota St 31, Nevada 17	HIT
Elon@Stanford	Stanford	98%	Stanford 34, Elon 7	HIT
Oklahoma State@Houston	Houston	61%	Houston 35, Oklahoma State 32	HIT
Louisville@Syracuse	Louisville	82%	Louisville 34, Syracuse 26	HIT
Louisiana Tech@UL Monroe	Louisiana Tech	84%	Louisiana Tech 24, UL Monroe 0	HIT
Navy@UTSA	UTSA	67%	UTSA 38, Navy 34	HIT
San José State@UTEP	San José State	66%	San José State 24, UTEP 11	HIT
Ohio@Sacramento State	Ohio	83%	Ohio 48, Sacramento State 7	HIT
Utah@Colorado	Utah	82%	Utah 27, Colorado 24	HIT
Wake Forest@California	Wake Forest	73%	Wake Forest 41, California 7	HIT
New Mexico@Hawai'i	New Mexico	82%	New Mexico 21, Hawai'i 10	HIT
Nebraska@Oregon	Oregon	67%	Oregon 17, Nebraska 14	HIT

WEEK 6

39-19 · BRIER .203

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 29 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Jacksonville State@Kennesaw State	Jacksonville State	57%	JXST 27, KENN 26	HIT
Missouri State@Western Kentucky	Missouri State	53%	WKU 34, MOST 13	MISS
South Alabama@Arkansas State	Arkansas State	58%	USA 56, ARST 49	MISS
Wyoming@San José State	San José State	59%	Wyoming 16, San José State 13 (OT)	MISS
Iowa@Washington	Washington	57%	Iowa 41, Washington 24	MISS
Arizona@West Virginia	Arizona	59%	Arizona 52, West Virginia 31	HIT
Tulane@Army	Army	59%	Army 20, Tulane 17	HIT
North Carolina@Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	60%	UNC 21, PITT 17	MISS
Wake Forest@NC State	Wake Forest	59%	Wake Forest 38, NC State 14	HIT
Texas A&M@Missouri	Missouri	59%	Missouri 27, Texas A&M 6	HIT
South Carolina@Florida	Florida	74%	South Carolina 38, Florida 19	MISS
Old Dominion@App State	App State	73%	Old Dominion 10, App State 3	MISS
Houston@Kansas State	Kansas State	56%	Houston 35, Kansas State 16	MISS
Central Michigan@Ohio	Ohio	56%	Ohio 31, Central Michigan 14	HIT
Virginia Tech@California	Virginia Tech	73%	CAL 25, VT 20	MISS
Texasvs Oklahoma	Texas	70%	Oklahoma 27, Texas 24	MISS
Illinois@Michigan State	Illinois	56%	Illinois 38, Michigan State 37 (OT)	HIT
UCLA@Oregon	Oregon	74%	UCLA 17, Oregon 15	MISS
Duke@Georgia Tech	Duke	62%	Georgia Tech 28, Duke 25	MISS
Buffalo@Toledo	Toledo	89%	Buffalo 23, Toledo 8	MISS
Tulsa@Navy	Navy	57%	Navy 34, Tulsa 26	HIT
UConn@Temple	Temple	60%	UConn 34, Temple 20	MISS
LSU@Kentucky	LSU	72%	Kentucky 35, LSU 34 (OT)	MISS
Coastal Carolina@Marshall	Marshall	61%	CCU 27, MRSH 21	MISS
North Dakota State@UNLV	North Dakota State	56%	UNLV 13, North Dakota State 7	MISS
Louisiana@Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	57%	LT 32, UL 31	HIT
USC@Penn State	USC	52%	USC 31, Penn State 23	HIT
Georgia@Alabama	Alabama	57%	Georgia 20, Alabama 17	MISS
Minnesota@Purdue	Minnesota	58%	Purdue 41, Minnesota 13	MISS

Show the other 29 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Southern Miss@Troy	Troy	73%	Troy 55, Southern Miss 34	HIT
New Mexico State@Florida International	Florida International	67%	FIU 22, NMSU 3	HIT
Sam Houston@Liberty	Liberty	80%	Liberty 35, Sam Houston 3	HIT
South Florida@UTSA	UTSA	64%	UTSA 31, South Florida 24	HIT
Florida State@Louisville	Louisville	60%	Louisville 44, Florida St 20	HIT
Washington State@Utah State	Utah State	60%	Utah St 17, Washington St 16	HIT
Iowa State@BYU	BYU	76%	BYU 24, Iowa State 10	HIT
Sacramento State@Bowling Green	Bowling Green	72%	BGSU 38, SAC 10	HIT
UCF@Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	73%	Oklahoma State 42, UCF 28	HIT
Indiana@Nebraska	Indiana	71%	Indiana 20, Nebraska 17	HIT
Ball State@Northwestern	Northwestern	99%	Northwestern 45, Ball State 14	HIT
Rice@East Carolina	East Carolina	73%	East Carolina 28, Rice 12	HIT
Miami (OH)@Massachusetts	Miami (OH)	66%	M-OH 20, MASS 19	HIT
Ole Miss@Vanderbilt	Ole Miss	72%	Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17	HIT
Kent State@Western Michigan	Western Michigan	81%	Western Michigan 38, Kent St 7	HIT
Stanford@Notre Dame	Notre Dame	99%	Notre Dame 58, Stanford 7	HIT
Charlotte@North Texas	North Texas	96%	North Texas 50, Charlotte 10	HIT
Eastern Michigan@Akron	Eastern Michigan	63%	Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23	HIT
Tennessee@Arkansas	Tennessee	81%	Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17	HIT
Maryland@Ohio State	Ohio State	97%	Ohio State 45, Maryland 16	HIT
San Diego State@Oregon State	Oregon State	85%	Oregon St 66, San Diego St 14	HIT
UAB@Memphis	Memphis	84%	Memphis 38, UAB 13	HIT
Nevada@UTEP	Nevada	72%	Nevada 30, UTEP 13	HIT
James Madison@Georgia Southern	James Madison	68%	JMU 27, GASO 24	HIT
Air Force@Northern Illinois	Air Force	67%	AF 28, NIU 7	HIT
Syracuse@Virginia	Virginia	81%	Virginia 28, Syracuse 25	HIT
Kansas@Utah	Utah	84%	Utah 41, Kansas 24	HIT
Hawai'i@Arizona State	Arizona State	90%	Arizona State 30, Hawai'i 12	HIT
Boise State@Fresno State	Boise State	73%	Boise St 38, Fresno St 31	HIT

WEEK 5

43-16 · BRIER .159

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 35 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Western Kentucky@New Mexico State	New Mexico State	55%	NMSU 34, WKU 13	HIT
North Texas@Tulsa	North Texas	53%	North Texas 45, Tulsa 44 (OT)	HIT
Pittsburgh@Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	55%	PITT 35, VT 33	MISS
Penn State@Northwestern	Penn State	56%	Northwestern 34, Penn State 13	MISS
Navy@Air Force	Air Force	58%	Air Force 14, Navy 9	HIT
Michigan@Minnesota	Michigan	64%	Minnesota 20, Michigan 14	MISS
West Virginia@Iowa State	Iowa State	58%	Iowa St 45, West Virginia 42	HIT
Eastern Michigan@Massachusetts	Massachusetts	65%	EMU 38, MASS 14	MISS
Louisville@NC State	Louisville	57%	NC State 31, Louisville 28	MISS
Florida@Missouri	Florida	63%	Missouri 45, Florida 17	MISS
Ohio@Kent State	Ohio	59%	Ohio 13, Kent State 10	HIT
Old Dominion@Georgia State	Georgia State	57%	Georgia St 42, Old Dominion 10	HIT
California@UNLV	UNLV	54%	UNLV 39, California 31	HIT
Virginia@Florida State	Virginia	52%	Florida State 38, Virginia 7	MISS
Bowling Green@Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	78%	BGSU 24, M-OH 20	MISS
Purdue@Illinois	Illinois	74%	Purdue 24, Illinois 17	MISS
Kentucky@South Carolina	South Carolina	56%	Kentucky 35, South Carolina 34 (OT)	MISS
Georgia Southern@Coastal Carolina	Georgia Southern	55%	GASO 31, CCU 24	HIT
Temple@South Florida	South Florida	64%	Temple 17, South Florida 13	MISS
Army@Louisiana Tech	Army	52%	Louisiana Tech 31, Army 29	MISS
Fresno State@Washington State	Washington State	56%	Fresno St 26, Washington St 6	MISS
Texas State@San Diego State	Texas State	73%	San Diego St 31, Texas St 29	MISS
Baylor@Arizona State	Arizona State	58%	Baylor 55, Arizona State 19	MISS
San José State@Hawai'i	Hawai'i	57%	San José State 20, Hawai'i 16	MISS

Show the other 35 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Liberty@Delaware	Liberty	66%	Liberty 30, Delaware 14	HIT
Memphis@Charlotte	Memphis	90%	Memphis 59, Charlotte 8	HIT
Boston College@SMU	SMU	91%	SMU 25, Boston College 16	HIT
Syracuse@UConn	Syracuse	66%	Syracuse 42, UConn 41 (OT)	HIT
Stanford@Wake Forest	Wake Forest	81%	Wake Forest 57, Stanford 3	HIT
UCF@Houston	Houston	75%	Houston 27, UCF 17	HIT
Middle Tennessee@Kansas	Kansas	90%	Kansas 55, Middle Tennessee 0	HIT
Notre Dame@North Carolina	Notre Dame	90%	ND 37, UNC 26	HIT
Alabama@Mississippi State	Alabama	64%	Alabama 56, Mississippi St 23	HIT
Michigan State@Wisconsin	Wisconsin	71%	Wisconsin 31, Michigan State 3	HIT
Vanderbilt@Georgia	Georgia	95%	Georgia 38, Vanderbilt 14	HIT
Western Michigan@Buffalo	Western Michigan	80%	WMU 20, BUF 17	HIT
Toledo@Ball State	Toledo	90%	Toledo 39, Ball State 24	HIT
Auburn@Tennessee	Tennessee	66%	Tennessee 24, Auburn 14	HIT
Wyoming@North Dakota State	North Dakota State	86%	North Dakota St 28, Wyoming 0	HIT
Samford@UAB	UAB	97%	UAB 33, Samford 14	HIT
Ohio State@Iowa	Ohio State	81%	Ohio State 31, Iowa 14	HIT
Akron@Central Michigan	Central Michigan	67%	Central Michigan 41, Akron 17	HIT
Marshall@James Madison	James Madison	87%	James Madison 45, Marshall 17	HIT
UTEP@New Mexico	New Mexico	93%	New Mexico 61, UTEP 7	HIT
Maryland@Nebraska	Nebraska	82%	Nebraska 48, Maryland 23	HIT
Texas Southern@Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic	99%	FAU 66, TXSO 10	HIT
Oregon State@Colorado State	Oregon State	67%	Oregon St 56, Colorado St 26	HIT
BYU@TCU	BYU	65%	BYU 17, TCU 10	HIT
Arkansas@Texas A&M	Texas A&M	81%	Texas A&M 34, Arkansas 7	HIT
UL Monroe@South Alabama	South Alabama	81%	South Alabama 52, UL Monroe 35	HIT
UTSA@Rice	UTSA	78%	UTSA 16, Rice 14	HIT
Miami@Clemson	Miami	83%	Miami 41, Clemson 13	HIT
Utah State@Boise State	Boise State	89%	Boise State 37, Utah State 18	HIT
Washington@USC	USC	71%	USC 25, Washington 21	HIT
Texas Tech@Colorado	Texas Tech	80%	Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7	HIT
McNeese@LSU	LSU	99%	LSU 63, McNeese 14	HIT
Indiana@Rutgers	Indiana	93%	Indiana 47, Rutgers 15	HIT
Arkansas State@Louisiana	Louisiana	65%	Louisiana 23, Arkansas St 20	HIT
Cincinnati@Arizona	Arizona	66%	Arizona 34, Cincinnati 7	HIT

WEEK 4

61-10 · BRIER .119

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 51 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Liberty@Coastal Carolina	Liberty	55%	LIB 34, CCU 17	HIT
Navy@UAB	Navy	66%	UAB 24, Navy 20	MISS
Clemson@California	Clemson	56%	Clemson 24, California 10	HIT
Ball State@Kent State	Kent State	58%	Kent State 26, Ball State 13	HIT
San Diego State@Toledo	Toledo	57%	Toledo 41, San Diego State 16	HIT
Wake Forest@Louisville	Louisville	78%	Wake Forest 30, Louisville 27	MISS
UCLA@Maryland	UCLA	57%	UCLA 54, Maryland 3	HIT
Hawai'i@Wyoming	Hawai'i	55%	Wyoming 27, Hawai'i 10	MISS
Iowa@Michigan	Michigan	62%	Iowa 20, Michigan 19	MISS
Ole Miss@Florida	Florida	59%	Florida 52, Ole Miss 28	HIT
TCU@UCF	TCU	59%	UCF 21, TCU 13	MISS
UConn@Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	57%	Miami (OH) 24, UConn 21	HIT
Wisconsin@Penn State	Penn State	73%	Wisconsin 24, Penn State 20	MISS
Kansas State@Cincinnati	Kansas State	65%	Cincinnati 31, Kansas State 26	MISS
Oklahoma State@West Virginia	West Virginia	54%	OKST 41, WVU 24	MISS
Oregon@USC	Oregon	59%	Oregon 41, USC 27	HIT
Troy@Utah State	Utah State	58%	Utah State 21, Troy 10	HIT
Missouri@Mississippi State	Mississippi State	58%	Mississippi St 31, Missouri 24	HIT
Georgia Tech@Stanford	Georgia Tech	58%	Stanford 34, Georgia Tech 27	MISS
Minnesota@Washington	Washington	76%	Minnesota 27, Washington 24	MISS

Show the other 51 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Army@Temple	Army	60%	Army 21, Temple 17	HIT
Howard@Rutgers	Rutgers	99%	Rutgers 58, Howard 7	HIT
Northwestern@Indiana	Indiana	90%	Indiana 29, Northwestern 23	HIT
Texas@Tennessee	Texas	64%	Texas 20, Tennessee 17	HIT
Illinois@Ohio State	Ohio State	95%	Ohio State 42, Illinois 19	HIT
Sam Houston@Texas Tech	Texas Tech	98%	Texas Tech 49, Sam Houston 14	HIT
Colorado State@UTSA	UTSA	81%	UTSA 59, Colorado State 45	HIT
Bucknell@Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	99%	Pittsburgh 59, Bucknell 0	HIT
Virginia Tech@Boston College	Virginia Tech	82%	VT 21, BC 14	HIT
UNLV@Akron	UNLV	80%	UNLV 38, Akron 10	HIT
Colorado@Baylor	Baylor	71%	Baylor 23, Colorado 13	HIT
South Alabama@Kentucky	Kentucky	90%	Kentucky 45, South Alabama 21	HIT
Lindenwood@Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	93%	EMU 29, LIN 3	HIT
Notre Dame@Purdue	Notre Dame	96%	Notre Dame 49, Purdue 10	HIT
Northern Illinois@Georgia State	Georgia State	73%	GAST 35, NIU 14	HIT
Central Arkansas@Florida State	Florida State	99%	FSU 34, CARK 7	HIT
Boise State@Western Michigan	Boise State	68%	BOIS 32, WMU 7	HIT
Gardner-Webb@Marshall	Marshall	95%	Marshall 36, Gardner-Webb 35	HIT
New Mexico@New Mexico State	New Mexico	77%	UNM 42, NMSU 18	HIT
Oklahoma@Georgia	Georgia	77%	Georgia 41, Oklahoma 13	HIT
Robert Morris@Buffalo	Buffalo	96%	Buffalo 31, Robert Morris 28	HIT
Utah@Iowa State	Utah	67%	Utah 31, Iowa State 17	HIT
Stonehill@Ohio	Ohio	98%	Ohio 35, Stonehill 7	HIT
William & Mary@Duke	Duke	99%	Duke 62, William & Mary 7	HIT
Houston@Georgia Southern	Houston	86%	HOU 42, GASO 28	HIT
North Carolina Central@East Carolina	East Carolina	99%	ECU 42, NCCU 9	HIT
Vanderbilt@Auburn	Auburn	74%	Auburn 21, Vanderbilt 15	HIT
South Florida@Bowling Green	South Florida	87%	USF 14, BGSU 6	HIT
Nebraska@Michigan State	Nebraska	64%	Nebraska 31, Michigan State 13	HIT
James Madison@Old Dominion	James Madison	65%	JMU 46, ODU 20	HIT
Delaware@Virginia	Virginia	90%	Virginia 42, Delaware 3	HIT
Long Island University@Florida International	Florida International	99%	FIU 20, LIU 3	HIT
Incarnate Word@Texas State	Texas State	97%	Texas St 63, Incarnate Word 10	HIT
Central Michigan@Miami	Miami	99%	Miami 52, Central Michigan 3	HIT
Louisiana@Charlotte	Louisiana	72%	Louisiana 34, Charlotte 7	HIT
Kennesaw State@Arkansas State	Arkansas State	66%	Arkansas St 17, Kennesaw St 14	HIT
Southern Miss@Tulane	Tulane	88%	Tulane 24, Southern Miss 21	HIT
Mercyhurst@Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	99%	WKU 52, MERC 7	HIT
South Carolina@Alabama	Alabama	78%	Alabama 49, South Carolina 18	HIT
Middle Tennessee@Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	67%	JXST 23, MTSU 13	HIT
App State@NC State	NC State	78%	NC State 41, App State 31	HIT
Arizona@Washington State	Arizona	76%	Arizona 34, Washington St 24	HIT
Houston Christian@North Texas	North Texas	99%	UNT 63, HCU 14	HIT
Texas A&M@LSU	LSU	71%	LSU 35, Texas A&M 6	HIT
Florida Atlantic@UL Monroe	Florida Atlantic	76%	FAU 45, ULM 17	HIT
Tulsa@Arkansas	Arkansas	66%	Arkansas 34, Tulsa 6	HIT
Massachusetts@Sacramento State	Massachusetts	61%	MASS 35, SAC 6	HIT
Missouri State@SMU	SMU	97%	SMU 34, Missouri State 24	HIT
Oregon State@UTEP	Oregon State	75%	Oregon State 33, UTEP 7	HIT
Rice@Fresno State	Fresno State	78%	Fresno State 38, Rice 24	HIT
Air Force@Nevada	Air Force	64%	Air Force 36, Nevada 33 (OT)	HIT

WEEK 3

66-9 · BRIER .095

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 57 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
North Texas@Texas State	Texas State	56%	Texas State 49, North Texas 35	HIT
North Carolina@Clemson	Clemson	58%	Clemson 28, North Carolina 20	HIT
NC State@Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	59%	Vanderbilt 35, NC State 31	HIT
Wyoming@Central Michigan	Wyoming	52%	CMU 24, WYO 10	MISS
SMU@Louisville	Louisville	59%	Louisville 41, SMU 31	HIT
Kentucky@Texas A&M	Texas A&M	85%	Kentucky 31, Texas A&M 21	MISS
Mississippi State@South Carolina	South Carolina	59%	MSST 41, SC 34	MISS
SE Louisiana@UL Monroe	UL Monroe	73%	SE Louisiana 38, UL Monroe 35	MISS
East Carolina@Old Dominion	Old Dominion	57%	ECU 20, ODU 17	MISS
UConn@Southern Miss	UConn	57%	UConn 48, Southern Miss 20	HIT
Nevada@Middle Tennessee	Nevada	60%	Middle Tennessee 27, Nevada 20	MISS
Florida@Auburn	Florida	56%	Florida 44, Auburn 39	HIT
Georgia Southern@Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	58%	JXST 31, GASO 27	HIT
LSU@Ole Miss	LSU	57%	Ole Miss 32, LSU 24	MISS
West Virginiavs Virginia	Virginia	75%	West Virginia 38, Virginia 27	MISS
Colorado@Northwestern	Northwestern	58%	Northwestern 41, Colorado 7	HIT
Virginia Tech@Maryland	Virginia Tech	56%	Virginia Tech 35, Maryland 26	HIT
James Madison@San Diego State	San Diego State	55%	JMU 26, SDSU 13	MISS

Show the other 57 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Syracuse@Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	74%	Pittsburgh 27, Syracuse 13	HIT
Miami@Wake Forest	Miami	89%	Miami 33, Wake Forest 20	HIT
Houston@Texas Tech	Texas Tech	68%	Texas Tech 28, Houston 26	HIT
Portland State@Oregon	Oregon	99%	Oregon 84, Portland State 0	HIT
Coastal Carolina@Delaware	Delaware	62%	DEL 22, CCU 14	HIT
Tulane@Kansas State	Kansas State	90%	Kansas State 31, Tulane 20	HIT
Georgia@Arkansas	Georgia	94%	Georgia 45, Arkansas 17	HIT
Buffalo@Penn State	Penn State	99%	Penn State 55, Buffalo 13	HIT
Mercer@Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	99%	Georgia Tech 44, Mercer 11	HIT
Akron@Minnesota	Minnesota	91%	Minnesota 41, Akron 7	HIT
Bowling Green@Iowa State	Iowa State	93%	Iowa State 55, Bowling Green 7	HIT
Arizona Statevs Kansas	Arizona State	63%	Arizona State 24, Kansas 17	HIT
Kent State@Ohio State	Ohio State	99%	Ohio State 59, Kent State 3	HIT
Eastern Michigan@Wisconsin	Wisconsin	93%	WIS 54, EMU 10	HIT
Southern Illinois@Illinois	Illinois	98%	ILL 48, SIU 10	HIT
Maine@Boston College	Boston College	99%	Boston College 22, Maine 16	HIT
Temple@Toledo	Toledo	62%	Toledo 49, Temple 48 (OT)	HIT
Miami (OH)@Cincinnati	Cincinnati	82%	Cincinnati 35, Miami (OH) 31	HIT
UTEP@Michigan	Michigan	99%	Michigan 52, UTEP 17	HIT
Duquesne@Washington State	Washington State	99%	Washington St 48, Duquesne 7	HIT
USC@Rutgers	USC	90%	USC 42, Rutgers 35	HIT
Wagner@California	California	99%	California 49, Wagner 7	HIT
Florida State@Alabama	Alabama	87%	Alabama 50, Florida State 36	HIT
Stonehill@Massachusetts	Massachusetts	98%	Massachusetts 36, Stonehill 14	HIT
Utah State@Utah	Utah	95%	Utah 33, Utah State 0	HIT
Northern Iowa@Iowa	Iowa	99%	Iowa 55, Northern Iowa 0	HIT
Western Kentucky@Indiana	Indiana	99%	Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 0	HIT
Stanford@Duke	Duke	73%	Duke 35, Stanford 7	HIT
Ball State@Liberty	Liberty	81%	Liberty 51, Ball State 15	HIT
Louisiana Tech@Baylor	Baylor	90%	Baylor 36, Louisiana Tech 19	HIT
Florida International@Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic	64%	FAU 16, FIU 10	HIT
Charlotte@App State	App State	85%	App State 26, Charlotte 21	HIT
Marshall@Missouri State	Marshall	60%	Marshall 30, Missouri State 24	HIT
Delaware State@South Florida	South Florida	99%	USF 59, DSU 17	HIT
UT Martin@Memphis	Memphis	98%	Memphis 45, UT Martin 21	HIT
Ohio@South Alabama	South Alabama	68%	South Alabama 41, Ohio 36	HIT
Georgia State@UCF	UCF	86%	UCF 44, Georgia State 30	HIT
Murray State@Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	99%	Oklahoma St 59, Murray St 0	HIT
Nicholls@Sam Houston	Sam Houston	91%	Sam Houston 59, Nicholls 0	HIT
Western Michigan@Rice	Western Michigan	70%	Western Michigan 28, Rice 21	HIT
Troy@Missouri	Missouri	95%	Missouri 27, Troy 17	HIT
North Dakota@Nebraska	Nebraska	95%	Nebraska 34, North Dakota 7	HIT
Eastern Washington@Washington	Washington	99%	WASH 48, EWU 16	HIT
BYU@Colorado State	BYU	86%	BYU 41, Colorado State 23	HIT
New Mexico@Oklahoma	Oklahoma	91%	Oklahoma 14, New Mexico 6	HIT
Michigan State@Notre Dame	Notre Dame	96%	Notre Dame 27, Michigan St 10	HIT
Kennesaw State@Tennessee	Tennessee	98%	Tennessee 42, Kennesaw State 9	HIT
UTSA@Texas	Texas	97%	Texas 30, UTSA 6	HIT
East Texas A&M@Tulsa	Tulsa	99%	Tulsa 42, East Texas A&M 0	HIT
Arkansas State@TCU	TCU	89%	TCU 31, Arkansas State 7	HIT
UAB@Louisiana	Louisiana	67%	Louisiana 21, UAB 14	HIT
South Dakota@Boise State	Boise State	96%	Boise St 38, South Dakota 24	HIT
North Dakota State@Sacramento State	North Dakota State	95%	NDSU 31, SAC 10	HIT
Northern Illinois@Arizona	Arizona	98%	ARIZ 42, NIU 17	HIT
Montana@Oregon State	Oregon State	86%	Oregon State 52, Montana 17	HIT
Purdue@UCLA	UCLA	81%	UCLA 52, Purdue 38	HIT
Fresno State@San José State	Fresno State	60%	Fresno St 26, San José St 10	HIT

WEEK 2

76-10 · BRIER .085

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 68 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Rutgers@Boston College	Boston College	57%	Boston College 28, Rutgers 21	HIT
Oklahoma@Michigan	Oklahoma	62%	Michigan 17, Oklahoma 10	MISS
South Florida@Army	Army	59%	South Florida 28, Army 24	MISS
Oregon@Oklahoma State	Oregon	93%	Oklahoma State 39, Oregon 31	MISS
App State@East Carolina	East Carolina	66%	App State 27, East Carolina 24	MISS
Wake Forest@Purdue	Wake Forest	59%	Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36 (OT)	HIT
Duke@Illinois	Illinois	64%	Duke 31, Illinois 27	MISS
Mississippi State@Minnesota	Mississippi State	52%	MSST 38, MINN 13	HIT
UTSA@Texas State	Texas State	56%	UTSA 31, Texas State 26	MISS
California@Syracuse	Syracuse	59%	California 21, Syracuse 18	MISS
UNLV@North Texas	UNLV	57%	North Texas 44, UNLV 6	MISS
Jacksonville State@Ohio	Ohio	54%	Ohio 29, Jacksonville State 27 (OT)	HIT
Illinois State@Northern Illinois	Illinois State	56%	ILST 28, NIU 24	HIT
Georgia State@Kennesaw State	Kennesaw State	69%	Georgia St 31, Kennesaw St 17	MISS
Navy@Florida Atlantic	Navy	60%	Florida Atlantic 38, Navy 30	MISS
Ohio State@Texas	Texas	54%	Texas 24, Ohio State 23	HIT
North Dakota State@Air Force	North Dakota State	56%	NDSU 38, AF 32	HIT
Montana State@Nevada	Montana State	59%	Montana State 20, Nevada 7	HIT

Show the other 68 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Florida A&M@Miami	Miami	99%	Miami 77, Florida A&M 7	HIT
Villanova@Louisville	Louisville	99%	Louisville 59, Villanova 13	HIT
Norfolk State@Virginia	Virginia	99%	Virginia 59, Norfolk State 3	HIT
Richmond@NC State	NC State	98%	NC State 73, Richmond 0	HIT
Missouri@Kansas	Missouri	61%	Missouri 38, Kansas 21	HIT
Old Dominion@Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	89%	VT 44, ODU 21	HIT
Washington State@Kansas State	Kansas State	86%	Kansas St 34, Washington St 7	HIT
Howard@Indiana	Indiana	99%	Indiana 55, Howard 0	HIT
Penn State@Temple	Penn State	94%	Penn State 27, Temple 9	HIT
Wofford@Kent State	Kent State	75%	Kent State 36, Wofford 15	HIT
East Tennessee State@North Carolina	North Carolina	99%	UNC 35, ETSU 3	HIT
Arizona State@Texas A&M	Texas A&M	81%	Texas A&M 48, Arizona State 20	HIT
Wagner@James Madison	James Madison	99%	James Madison 87, Wagner 3	HIT
Gardner-Webb@Liberty	Liberty	96%	Liberty 24, Gardner-Webb 23	HIT
Western Kentucky@Georgia	Georgia	99%	UGA 70, WKU 20	HIT
Holy Cross@Miami (OH)	Miami (OH)	97%	Miami (OH) 45, Holy Cross 7	HIT
UT Martin@West Virginia	West Virginia	99%	West Virginia 52, UT Martin 7	HIT
Colgate@Central Michigan	Central Michigan	89%	CMU 13, COLG 10	HIT
Stony Brook@Ball State	Ball State	81%	Ball State 41, Stony Brook 17	HIT
Utah State@Washington	Washington	96%	Washington 16, Utah State 14	HIT
Central Connecticut@Toledo	Toledo	99%	TOL 63, CCSU 10	HIT
UCF@Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	67%	Pittsburgh 12, UCF 7	HIT
Sacred Heart@Massachusetts	Massachusetts	93%	MASS 37, SHU 10	HIT
Robert Morris@Akron	Akron	96%	Akron 45, Robert Morris 10	HIT
Eastern Michigan@Michigan State	Michigan State	86%	MSU 35, EMU 7	HIT
Weber State@Colorado	Colorado	99%	Colorado 52, Weber State 21	HIT
UL Monroe@UAB	UAB	72%	UAB 26, UL Monroe 20	HIT
Rice@Notre Dame	Notre Dame	99%	Notre Dame 52, Rice 0	HIT
Maryland@UConn	Maryland	76%	Maryland 38, UConn 14	HIT
Alabama@Kentucky	Alabama	74%	Alabama 45, Kentucky 17	HIT
Arizona@BYU	BYU	67%	BYU 28, Arizona 17	HIT
Alabama State@Troy	Troy	93%	Troy 34, Alabama State 17	HIT
UC Davis@SMU	SMU	97%	SMU 56, UC Davis 10	HIT
Mercyhurst@New Mexico	New Mexico	99%	New Mexico 70, Mercyhurst 7	HIT
Northern Colorado@Wyoming	Wyoming	91%	WYO 21, UNCO 13	HIT
Delaware@Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	91%	Vanderbilt 35, Delaware 26	HIT
Campbell@Florida	Florida	99%	Florida 52, Campbell 3	HIT
Buffalo@Florida International	Florida International	74%	FIU 33, BUF 20	HIT
Memphis@Boise State	Boise State	71%	Boise State 38, Memphis 20	HIT
Monmouth@Western Michigan	Western Michigan	96%	WMU 49, MONM 14	HIT
Bowling Green@Nebraska	Nebraska	97%	Nebraska 56, Bowling Green 7	HIT
Lindenwood@Missouri State	Missouri State	86%	Missouri St 48, Lindenwood 14	HIT
Towson@South Carolina	South Carolina	99%	South Carolina 45, Towson 9	HIT
Southern Utah@Colorado State	Colorado State	91%	CSU 58, SUU 24	HIT
Western Carolina@Cincinnati	Cincinnati	99%	CIN 62, WCU 10	HIT
South Alabama@Tulane	Tulane	72%	Tulane 28, South Alabama 24	HIT
Southern@Houston	Houston	99%	Houston 77, Southern 6	HIT
West Georgia@Arkansas State	Arkansas State	98%	Arkansas St 52, West Georgia 7	HIT
Tennessee@Georgia Tech	Tennessee	76%	Tennessee 45, Georgia Tech 24	HIT
Middle Tennessee@Marshall	Marshall	79%	MRSH 28, MTSU 26	HIT
Tulsa@Sam Houston	Tulsa	78%	Tulsa 23, Sam Houston 17	HIT
Western Illinois@Wisconsin	Wisconsin	99%	WIS 36, WIU 9	HIT
San Diego State@UCLA	UCLA	80%	UCLA 28, San Diego State 10	HIT
Texas Tech@Oregon State	Texas Tech	95%	Texas Tech 35, Oregon State 24	HIT
Iowa State@Iowa	Iowa	82%	Iowa 16, Iowa State 13	HIT
Fordham@Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	99%	Coastal Carolina 45, Fordham 7	HIT
Louisiana Tech@LSU	LSU	99%	LSU 45, Louisiana Tech 14	HIT
Georgia Southern@Clemson	Clemson	90%	Clemson 22, Georgia Southern 7	HIT
Charlotte@Ole Miss	Ole Miss	99%	Ole Miss 41, Charlotte 9	HIT
Southern Miss@Auburn	Auburn	98%	Auburn 43, Southern Miss 8	HIT
Grambling@TCU	TCU	99%	TCU 63, Grambling 7	HIT
Prairie View A&M@Baylor	Baylor	99%	Baylor 44, Prairie View A&M 3	HIT
Texas Southern@UTEP	UTEP	96%	UTEP 51, Texas Southern 10	HIT
Cal Poly@San José State	San José State	90%	San José State 30, Cal Poly 20	HIT
Arkansas@Utah	Utah	79%	Utah 43, Arkansas 10	HIT
Sacramento State@Fresno State	Fresno State	87%	Fresno St 49, Sacramento St 3	HIT
Louisiana@USC	USC	98%	USC 49, Louisiana 30	HIT
New Mexico State@Hawai'i	Hawai'i	68%	Hawai'i 29, New Mexico St 19	HIT

WEEK 1

84-7 · BRIER .069

The misses and the close calls (picks under 60%). The other 79 games were favorites that won.

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
Massachusetts@Rutgers	Rutgers	97%	Massachusetts 37, Rutgers 21	MISS
Colorado@Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	66%	Colorado 14, Georgia Tech 13	MISS
San José State@Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	57%	SJSU 27, EMU 21	MISS
Tarleton State@Bowling Green	Bowling Green	55%	TAR 20, BGSU 13	MISS
The Citadel@Charlotte	Charlotte	90%	The Citadel 43, Charlotte 41 (OT)	MISS
Oklahoma State@Tulsa	Oklahoma State	79%	Tulsa 24, Oklahoma State 10	MISS
Wyoming@Colorado State	Colorado State	57%	Colorado State 35, Wyoming 13	HIT
Idaho State@Utah State	Utah State	82%	Idaho State 29, Utah State 17	MISS
UNLV@Hawai'i	UNLV	57%	UNLV 21, Hawai'i 6	HIT
UCLA@California	UCLA	57%	UCLA 45, California 24	HIT
Western Kentucky@Nevada	Nevada	51%	Nevada 49, Western Kentucky 14	HIT
SMU@Florida State	SMU	56%	SMU 27, Florida State 24	HIT

Show the other 79 games

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
UAlbany@Buffalo	Buffalo	86%	Buffalo 21, UAlbany 17	HIT
Merrimack@Delaware	Delaware	98%	Delaware 42, Merrimack 7	HIT
West Georgia@Kennesaw State	Kennesaw State	91%	Kennesaw St 47, West Georgia 0	HIT
Akron@Wake Forest	Wake Forest	96%	Wake Forest 38, Akron 16	HIT
Bethune-Cookman@UCF	UCF	99%	UCF 73, Bethune-Cookman 6	HIT
Eastern Illinois@Minnesota	Minnesota	99%	MINN 59, EIU 7	HIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff@Missouri	Missouri	99%	MIZ 54, UAPB 14	HIT
Idaho@Utah	Utah	99%	Utah 66, Idaho 14	HIT
UAB@Illinois	Illinois	95%	Illinois 42, UAB 23	HIT
North Carolina A&T@Georgia State	Georgia State	96%	GAST 59, NCAT 10	HIT
Indiana State@Purdue	Purdue	99%	Purdue 44, Indiana State 19	HIT
Long Island University@Kansas	Kansas	99%	KU 51, LIU 6	HIT
UTEP@Oklahoma	Oklahoma	99%	Oklahoma 51, UTEP 0	HIT
Toledo@Michigan State	Michigan State	74%	Michigan State 30, Toledo 20	HIT
Miami@Stanford	Miami	94%	Miami 45, Stanford 6	HIT
Fresno State@USC	USC	91%	USC 39, Fresno State 0	HIT
Bryant@Army	Army	99%	Army 59, Bryant 3	HIT
East Carolina@Alabama	Alabama	96%	Alabama 48, East Carolina 10	HIT
Ohio@Nebraska	Nebraska	93%	Nebraska 49, Ohio 21	HIT
New Hampshire@Syracuse	Syracuse	99%	Syracuse 66, New Hampshire 3	HIT
Liberty@James Madison	James Madison	65%	James Madison 20, Liberty 13	HIT
Oregon State@Houston	Houston	91%	Houston 33, Oregon State 20	HIT
Coastal Carolina@West Virginia	West Virginia	90%	WVU 31, CCU 24	HIT
North Texas@Indiana	Indiana	99%	Indiana 52, North Texas 16	HIT
Lafayette@UConn	UConn	89%	UConn 56, Lafayette 7	HIT
Miami (OH)@Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	85%	Pittsburgh 59, Miami (OH) 14	HIT
Ball State@Ohio State	Ohio State	99%	Ohio State 56, Ball State 3	HIT
Kent State@South Carolina	South Carolina	99%	South Carolina 57, Kent St 0	HIT
Youngstown State@Kentucky	Kentucky	93%	Kentucky 45, Youngstown St 13	HIT
Southeast Missouri State@Iowa State	Iowa State	97%	ISU 38, SEMO 10	HIT
Duquesne@Air Force	Air Force	96%	Air Force 34, Duquesne 0	HIT
Rhode Island@Temple	Temple	81%	Temple 38, Rhode Island 14	HIT
Tennessee State@Georgia	Georgia	99%	Georgia 63, Tennessee State 3	HIT
UT Rio Grande Valley@UTSA	UTSA	96%	UTSA 45, RGV 16	HIT
Maine@App State	App State	90%	App State 55, Maine 3	HIT
Marshall@Penn State	Penn State	93%	Penn State 45, Marshall 0	HIT
Tulane@Duke	Duke	69%	Duke 17, Tulane 3	HIT
Baylorvs Auburn	Auburn	65%	Auburn 17, Baylor 16	HIT
Furman@Tennessee	Tennessee	99%	Tennessee 56, Furman 9	HIT
Boston College@Cincinnati	Cincinnati	68%	CIN 34, BC 15	HIT
Boise State@Oregon	Oregon	94%	Oregon 34, Boise State 27	HIT
Fordham@North Dakota State	North Dakota State	99%	North Dakota St 38, Fordham 0	HIT
Towson@Navy	Navy	97%	Navy 42, Towson 15	HIT
Texas State@Texas	Texas	97%	Texas 59, Texas State 7	HIT
Northern Illinois@Iowa	Iowa	98%	Iowa 40, Northern Illinois 0	HIT
North Alabama@Arkansas	Arkansas	99%	Arkansas 31, North Alabama 14	HIT
Alcorn State@Southern Miss	Southern Miss	89%	Southern Miss 49, Alcorn St 3	HIT
Norfolk State@Old Dominion	Old Dominion	99%	Old Dominion 31, Norfolk St 10	HIT
Sam Houston@Troy	Troy	85%	Troy 24, Sam Houston 21	HIT
Florida International@South Florida	South Florida	81%	USF 19, FIU 9	HIT
Houston Christian@Rice	Rice	92%	Rice 31, Houston Christian 3	HIT
SE Louisiana@South Alabama	South Alabama	81%	USA 39, SELA 14	HIT
Eastern Kentucky@Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State	92%	JXST 49, EKU 7	HIT
Abilene Christian@Texas Tech	Texas Tech	99%	TTU 33, ACU 10	HIT
Missouri State@Texas A&M	Texas A&M	99%	Texas A&M 50, Missouri State 0	HIT
Charleston Southern@Georgia Southern	Georgia Southern	96%	GASO 31, CHSO 0	HIT
Murray State@Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	92%	MTSU 38, MUR 14	HIT
Nicholls@Kansas State	Kansas State	99%	Kansas State 71, Nicholls 3	HIT
Arkansas State@Memphis	Memphis	74%	Memphis 42, Arkansas State 24	HIT
Austin Peay@Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	96%	Vanderbilt 28, Austin Peay 9	HIT
UL Monroe@Mississippi State	Mississippi State	96%	MSST 62, ULM 13	HIT
VMI@Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	99%	Virginia Tech 73, VMI 3	HIT
Clemson@LSU	LSU	72%	LSU 51, Clemson 10	HIT
Northwestern State@Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech	99%	LT 80, NWST 6	HIT
Western Michigan@Michigan	Michigan	96%	MICH 13, WMU 12	HIT
Florida Atlantic@Florida	Florida	95%	FLA 66, FAU 21	HIT
Lamar@Louisiana	Louisiana	89%	Louisiana 38, Lamar 7	HIT
Utah Tech@BYU	BYU	99%	BYU 63, Utah Tech 7	HIT
South Dakota State@Northwestern	Northwestern	78%	NU 34, SDST 18	HIT
Hampton@Maryland	Maryland	99%	Maryland 62, Hampton 0	HIT
Mercyhurst@New Mexico State	New Mexico State	96%	NMSU 51, MERC 14	HIT
Portland State@San Diego State	San Diego State	99%	SDSU 53, PRST 20	HIT
Northern Arizona@Arizona	Arizona	97%	Arizona 35, Northern Arizona 7	HIT
Morgan State@Arizona State	Arizona State	99%	Arizona St 70, Morgan St 7	HIT
Central Michigan@New Mexico	New Mexico	75%	UNM 38, CMU 7	HIT
Mississippi Valley State@Sacramento State	Sacramento State	99%	SAC 52, MVSU 0	HIT
Washington State@Washington	Washington	92%	WASH 24, WSU 10	HIT
Louisvillevs Ole Miss	Ole Miss	66%	Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38	HIT
Wisconsinvs Notre Dame	Notre Dame	90%	Notre Dame 41, Wisconsin 13	HIT

WEEK 0

6-2 · BRIER .172

MATCHUP	PICK	CVM WIN%	FINAL	RESULT
North Carolinavs TCU	TCU	72%	North Carolina 15, TCU 10	MISS
San José State@USC	USC	99%	USC 42, San José State 26	HIT
NC State@Virginia	Virginia	59%	Virginia 34, NC State 8	HIT
Jacksonville State@North Dakota State	North Dakota State	66%	NDSU 33, JXST 7	HIT
Sacramento State@Eastern Michigan	Eastern Michigan	71%	EMU 28, SAC 17	HIT
Hawai'i@Stanford	Stanford	61%	Stanford 37, Hawai'i 27	HIT
New Mexico State@Florida State	Florida State	97%	FSU 34, NMSU 17	HIT
Memphis@UNLV	UNLV	58%	Memphis 27, UNLV 21	MISS

CALIBRATION

PREDICTED HOME WIN%	GAMES	AVG PREDICTED	ACTUAL HOME WIN%
90-100%	172	97%	99%

The model prices every game hourly until kickoff; the last number before kickoff is the one graded here, and nothing is re-run after the fact. Where a betting line exists the model's expected margin tracks that line, so the early-season record reads close to the market's. How the model works: Methodology. Not betting advice.

CFB Vibes Model | Track Record