GAME DAY
Week 6 · TBDBALL radioCardinal Sports Network
NU radioNorthwestern Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Northwestern a 98% chance.
SeriesNorthwestern leads 1–0 · Northwestern won the last meeting, 24–19 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NU
Home-field edge NU
Model projection NU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Ball State @ Northwestern
Your sims:Sims: NU 0, BALL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northwestern
Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)
Wvs Central Michigan34–7Lat Illinois20–13Wvs Minnesota38–35Northwestern2025: 7–6 (4–5 B1G)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Ball State vs Northwestern Stats ComparisonBall State vs Northwestern Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Ball StateBALL | NorthwesternNU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.8#132 | PPG | 23.4#98 |
| 29.8#101 | PA/G | 19.8#23 |
| 271.7#134 | YDS/G | 346.8#98 |
| 138#131 | PASS/G | 185.9#108 |
| 133.7#96 | RUSH/G | 160.9#64 |
| 4.5#133 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 33.5%#119 | 3RD DOWN | 42.9%#37 |
| 0.18#87 | DEF PPA | 0.17#80 |
| 32.5%#136 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.0%#60 |
| 44.7%#113 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.1%#123 |
| 5.7% | RET PROD | 88.5% |
| 1.32#29 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#110 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −1#77 |
| -0.00#133 | OFF PPA | 0.15#84 |
| -25.1 | SP+ | 5.1 |
| -17.3#134 | FPI | 1.4#60 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Ryan FieldLocationEvanston, IL
Capacity35,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2026
Elevation595 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Ball State or Northwestern?
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MORE WEEK 6 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
