GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·OklahomaOU0–0·SEC
TEX radioLonghorn Radio Network
OU radioSooner Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas opens a 6-point favorite in Dallas. Our model gives Texas a 65% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 62–51–5 · Texas won the last meeting, 23–6 · 2025
What's driving the model
Neutral site EVEN
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Texas vs Oklahoma
Your sims:Sims: OU 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTEX −6OU +6
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINETEX −218OU +180
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Texas vs Oklahoma Stats ComparisonTexas vs Oklahoma Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TexasTEX | OklahomaOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5#41 | PPG | 26.2#79 |
| 20.3#28 | PA/G | 15.5#7 |
| 388.7#69 | YDS/G | 354.5#93 |
| 250.7#44 | PASS/G | 235.8#59 |
| 138#90 | RUSH/G | 118.7#113 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 39.2%#75 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.18#57 | OFF PPA | 0.11#100 |
| 40.5%#93 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 39.2%#43 | DEF SUCCESS | 30.7%#2 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 63.2% |
| 1.37#13 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| 22.8 | SP+ | 18.8 |
| 26.9#2 | FPI | 17.8#12 |
| +14#4 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.10#40 | DEF PPA | -0.02#4 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Cotton BowlLocationDallas, TX
Capacity92,100
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation437 ft
FAN NEWS
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