GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·USF radioBulls Radio Network
UTSA radioRoadrunner Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UTSA a 62% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · South Florida won the last meeting, 55–23 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTSA
Home-field edge UTSA
Model projection UTSA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Florida @ UTSA
Your sims:Sims: UTSA 0, USF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Florida vs UTSA Stats ComparisonUSF vs UTSA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South FloridaUSF | UTSAUTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.5#5 | PPG | 35.5#14 |
| 23.4#53 | PA/G | 28.8#91 |
| 487.8#3 | YDS/G | 421.3#28 |
| 275.6#18 | PASS/G | 247.2#46 |
| 212.2#13 | RUSH/G | 174.1#52 |
| 7#5 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 46.4%#20 | 3RD DOWN | 39.7%#70 |
| +5#35 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.20#43 |
| 0.08#30 | DEF PPA | 0.14#58 |
| 46.7%#22 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 37.9%#27 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.0%#29 |
| 12.6% | RET PROD | 66.9% |
| 1.30#38 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| -1.7 | SP+ | -1.1 |
| -0.9#73 | FPI | -5.3#88 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
AlamodomeLocationSan Antonio, TX
Capacity36,582
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation661 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about South Florida or UTSA?
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MORE WEEK 6 GAMES
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