South Florida Bulls Football

South Florida opens the 2026 season against Florida International on Saturday, Sep 5 at Raymond James Stadium.

The Read

South Florida opens a 14-point favorite. Our model gives South Florida a 80% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

USF 80% FIU 20%

PROJECTED FINAL

South Florida

33

Florida International

19

USF win
80% One-score game
30%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) USF

Home-field edge USF

Market lean USF

Model projection USF

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game Florida International @ South Florida

Your sims:Sims: USF 0, FIU 0

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Florida International @ South Florida

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELUSF 80% to win

SIM NOW →

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South Florida @ Army

Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELARMY 58% to win

CBSSNSIM NOW →

DSU@

Delaware State @ South Florida

Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELUSF 96% to win

SIM NOW →

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South Florida @ Bowling Green

TBD

CFB VIBES MODELUSF 72% to win

SIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
7	UNTNorth TexasUNT	0–0	0–0
8	RICERiceRICE	0–0	0–0
9	USFSouth FloridaUSF	0–0	0–0
10	TEMTempleTEM	0–0	0–0
11	TULNTulaneTULN	0–0	0–0

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
–	USFSouth FloridaUSF

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
–	USFSouth FloridaUSF