GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StreamingESPN+
UCF radioKnights Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
UCF opens a 42.5-point favorite. Our model gives UCF a 99% chance.
SeriesUCF leads 2–0 · UCF won the last meeting, 63–14 · 2021
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Bethune-Cookman
12
UCF win
99% One-score game
3% Cover UCF −42.5
36%
99% One-score game
3% Cover UCF −42.5
36%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge UCF
Market lean UCF
Model projection UCF
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Bethune-Cookman @ UCF
Your sims:Sims: UCF 0, BCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
UCF99%- Bethune-Cookman1%
CFB Vibes ModelUCF 99%MarketUCF 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $391,229 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADBCU +42.5UCF −42.5
TOTALOver 59.5Under 59.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Bethune-Cookman vs UCF Stats ComparisonBCU vs UCF Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Bethune-CookmanBCU | UCFUCF | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 24.3#90 |
| – | PA/G | 23.6#56 |
| – | YDS/G | 378.9#76 |
| – | PASS/G | 220.8#75 |
| – | RUSH/G | 158.2#67 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#55 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 33.9%#117 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.15#83 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.11#52 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 39.9%#100 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 42.3%#80 |
| – | RET PROD | 24.8% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#11 |
| – | SP+ | 1.7 |
| – | FPI | 2.1#57 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
FBC Mortgage StadiumLocationOrlando, FL
Capacity44,206
SurfaceGrass
Opened2007
Elevation69 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
