GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Utah opens a 35.5-point favorite. Our model gives Utah a 99% chance.
SeriesUtah leads 14–12–2 · Idaho won the last meeting, 28–17 · 1993
What's driving the model
Home-field edge UTAH
Market lean UTAH
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Idaho @ Utah
Your sims:Sims: UTAH 0, IDHO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Utah99%- Idaho2%
CFB Vibes ModelUTAH 99%MarketUTAH 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $199,508 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADIDHO +35.5UTAH −35.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINEIDHO +5000UTAH −100000
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Idaho vs Utah Stats ComparisonIdaho vs Utah Stats Comparison
2025 stats| IdahoIDHO | UtahUTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 41.3#4 |
| – | PA/G | 18.9#17 |
| – | YDS/G | 483.2#4 |
| – | PASS/G | 216.6#82 |
| – | RUSH/G | 266.5#2 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#18 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 52.9%#2 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.35#3 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.07#24 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 49.5%#6 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#31 |
| – | RET PROD | 67.9% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#59 |
| – | SP+ | 9.8 |
| – | FPI | 8.5#31 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice-Eccles StadiumLocationSalt Lake City, UT
Capacity51,444
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation4,631 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Idaho or Utah?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
