GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·FurmanFUR–
TennesseeTENN0–0·SEC
StreamingSECN+
TENN radioVol Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Tennessee opens a 46.5-point favorite. Our model gives Tennessee a 99% chance.
SeriesTennessee leads 2–0 · Tennessee won the last meeting, 52–7 · 1942
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Furman
15
TENN win
99% One-score game
4% Cover TENN −46.5
27%
99% One-score game
4% Cover TENN −46.5
27%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge TENN
Market lean TENN
Model projection TENN
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Furman @ Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: TENN 0, FUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3FurmanFurman2025: 0–1
Lat Clemson45–10Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Tennessee98%- Furman2%
CFB Vibes ModelTENN 99%MarketTENN 98%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $39,115 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADFUR +46.5TENN −46.5
TOTALOver 66.5Under 66.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Furman vs Tennessee Stats ComparisonFurman vs Tennessee Stats Comparison
2025 stats| FurmanFUR | TennesseeTENN | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 39.8#6 |
| – | PA/G | 28.8#91 |
| – | YDS/G | 469#7 |
| – | PASS/G | 292.8#6 |
| – | RUSH/G | 176.2#47 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#18 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 50.3%#9 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.32#8 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.15#60 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 50.4%#4 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 44.6%#110 |
| – | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#59 |
| – | SP+ | 17.3 |
| – | FPI | 15.1#16 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Neyland StadiumLocationKnoxville, TN
Capacity102,455
SurfaceGrass
Opened1921
Elevation892 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
