GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Miami opens a 24.5-point favorite. Our model gives Miami a 94% chance.
SeriesMiami leads 1–0 · Miami won the last meeting, 42–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) MIA
Home-field edge STAN
Market lean MIA
Model projection MIA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Miami @ Stanford
Your sims:Sims: STAN 0, MIA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADMIA −24.5STAN +24.5
TOTALOver 48.5Under 48.5
MONEYLINEMIA −3600STAN +1500
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Miami vs Stanford Stats ComparisonMiami vs Stanford Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MiamiMIA | StanfordSTAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 18.8#122 |
| 14.8#5 | PA/G | 29.2#96 |
| 404.9#48 | YDS/G | 307.5#123 |
| 253.2#41 | PASS/G | 222#72 |
| 151.8#77 | RUSH/G | 85.5#132 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 4.7#128 |
| 46.5%#18 | 3RD DOWN | 37.7%#90 |
| 0.22#32 | OFF PPA | 0.06#119 |
| 0.03#12 | DEF PPA | 0.18#85 |
| 46.8%#20 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.5%#123 |
| 35.9%#13 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 36.9% | RET PROD | 21.3% |
| 1.16#120 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#83 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| 22.0 | SP+ | -2.3 |
| 21.8#7 | FPI | -3.3#80 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Stanford StadiumLocationStanford, CA
Capacity50,424
SurfaceGrass
Opened2006
Elevation60 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Miami or Stanford?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
