GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·StanfordSTAN1–0·ACC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Duke a 76% chance.
SeriesStanford leads 3–1 · Stanford won the last meeting, 50–13 · 2012
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) DUKE
Home-field edge DUKE
Model projection DUKE
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stanford @ Duke
Your sims:Sims: DUKE 0, STAN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Stanford
Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs Hawai'i37–27Stanford2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stanford vs Duke Stats ComparisonStanford vs Duke Stats Comparison
2025 stats| StanfordSTAN | DukeDUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | 34.6#16 |
| 29.2#96 | PA/G | 29.4#98 |
| 307.5#123 | YDS/G | 423.6#25 |
| 222#72 | PASS/G | 285.4#11 |
| 85.5#132 | RUSH/G | 138.2#88 |
| 4.7#128 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#27 |
| 37.7%#90 | 3RD DOWN | 39.0%#77 |
| 0.06#119 | OFF PPA | 0.24#24 |
| 0.18#85 | DEF PPA | 0.22#113 |
| 36.5%#123 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.8%#29 |
| 42.5%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.5%#96 |
| 21.3% | RET PROD | 17.1% |
| 1.22#83 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#26 |
| −4#98 | TO MARGIN | +10#11 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | 5.6 |
| -3.3#80 | FPI | 3.5#52 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Wallace Wade StadiumLocationDurham, NC
Capacity40,004
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation338 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Stanford or Duke?
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