GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·Utah StateUSU0–0·PAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah a 90% chance.
SeriesUtah leads 73–28–4 · Utah won the last meeting, 38–21 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTAH
Home-field edge UTAH
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Utah State @ Utah
Your sims:Sims: UTAH 0, USU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Utah State
Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)
Lvs Washington State34–21Lvs Boise State25–24Wat Fresno State28–17Utah State2025: 6–7 (4–4 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Utah State vs Utah Stats ComparisonUtah State vs Utah Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Utah StateUSU | UtahUTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9#35 | PPG | 41.3#4 |
| 28.7#90 | PA/G | 18.9#17 |
| 409.8#40 | YDS/G | 483.2#4 |
| 246.9#48 | PASS/G | 216.6#82 |
| 162.9#62 | RUSH/G | 266.5#2 |
| 6.3#24 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#18 |
| 34.5%#111 | 3RD DOWN | 52.9%#2 |
| +6#27 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.20#41 | OFF PPA | 0.35#3 |
| 0.20#101 | DEF PPA | 0.07#24 |
| 41.1%#83 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.5%#6 |
| 42.7%#90 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.1%#31 |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | 67.9% |
| 1.35#17 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#59 |
| -7.9 | SP+ | 9.8 |
| -6.7#92 | FPI | 8.5#31 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice-Eccles StadiumLocationSalt Lake City, UT
Capacity51,444
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation4,631 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
