GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDARST radioRed Wolves Sports Network
CCU radioChanticleer Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Coastal Carolina a 53% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 3–3 since 2017 · Coastal Carolina won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARST
Home-field edge CCU
Model projection CCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas St @ Coastal Carolina
Your sims:Sims: CCU 0, ARST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Arkansas State
Wat Southern Miss23–13Lvs South Alabama56–49Lat Louisiana23–20
Coastal Carolina
Lvs App State35–32Wat Marshall27–21Lvs Georgia Southern31–24
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina Stats ComparisonARST vs CCU Stats Comparison
| Arkansas StateARST | Coastal CarolinaCCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4#81 | PPG | 26.1#87 |
| 26.6#95 | PA/G | 25.9#92 |
| 366#87 | YDS/G | 382.4#77 |
| 233#67 | PASS/G | 234.9#64 |
| 133#106 | RUSH/G | 147.6#85 |
| 5.9#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#65 |
| 45.1%#36 | 3RD DOWN | 36.5%#98 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| 0.16#65 | OFF PPA | 0.14#75 |
| 0.14#105 | DEF PPA | 0.14#106 |
| 48.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#96 |
| 45.0%#117 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.3%#123 |
| 30.0% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.12#122 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#21 |
| 1321 | ELO | 1277 |
| -8.0 | SP+ | -11.0 |
| -8.5#99 | FPI | -13.1#115 |
| -7.7 | SRS | -12.0 |
THE VENUE
Brooks Stadium (SC)LocationConway, SC
Capacity21,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2003
Elevation45 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Arkansas State or Coastal Carolina?
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