GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDUSC radioTrojan Media Network
IU radioIU Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Indiana opens a 10-point favorite. Our model gives Indiana a 74% chance.
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) IU
Home-field edge IU
Market lean IU
Model projection IU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
USC @ Indiana
Your sims:Sims: IU 0, USC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUSC +10IU −10
TOTALOver 58.5Under 58.5
MONEYLINEUSC +350IU −455
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
USC vs Indiana Stats ComparisonUSC vs Indiana Stats Comparison
| USCUSC | IndianaIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.4#27 | PPG | 36.6#25 |
| 25.1#80 | PA/G | 12.9#4 |
| 462.4#17 | YDS/G | 449.3#31 |
| 310.1#7 | PASS/G | 249.1#49 |
| 152.3#76 | RUSH/G | 200.1#29 |
| 6.7#20 | YDS/PLAY | 7.4#4 |
| 51.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 46.3%#30 |
| 0.31#12 | OFF PPA | 0.35#5 |
| 51.6%#7 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.0%#39 |
| 41.0%#75 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.9%#3 |
| 59.2% | RET PROD | 16.6% |
| 1.21#82 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#5 |
| 1804 | ELO | 2089 |
| 14.4 | SP+ | 26.7 |
| 14.9#17 | FPI | 25.4#5 |
| 9.5 | SRS | 20.5 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.14#106 | DEF PPA | -0.04#16 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationBloomington, IN
Capacity52,656
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation760 ft
FAN NEWS
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