GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDFloridaFLA5–2·SEC
KentuckyUK6–1·SEC
FLA radioGator Radio Network
UK radioUK Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kentucky a 53% chance.
SeriesFlorida leads 54–22 · Kentucky won the last meeting, 38–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FLA
Home-field edge UK
Model projection UK
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Florida @ Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: UK 0, FLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Florida vs Kentucky Stats ComparisonFlorida vs Kentucky Stats Comparison
| FloridaFLA | KentuckyUK | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6#11 | PPG | 32.7#46 |
| 28.3#109 | PA/G | 25.9#92 |
| 450.9#26 | YDS/G | 387.9#71 |
| 256.6#42 | PASS/G | 221.7#79 |
| 194.3#35 | RUSH/G | 166.1#56 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#53 |
| 45.1%#36 | 3RD DOWN | 29.1%#136 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +11#3 |
| 0.25#25 | OFF PPA | 0.19#47 |
| 0.07#68 | DEF PPA | 0.03#51 |
| 45.7%#44 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.3%#24 |
| 41.7%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.9%#111 |
| 69.1% | RET PROD | 19.3% |
| 1.22#77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#112 |
| 1643 | ELO | 1599 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | 8.0 |
| 14.3#19 | FPI | 12.7#26 |
| 13.7 | SRS | 15.3 |
THE VENUE
Kroger FieldLocationLexington, KY
Capacity61,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1973
Elevation1,009 ft
FAN NEWS
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