GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDTEX radioLonghorn Radio Network
LSU radioLSU Sports Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas a 56% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 8–7–1 · LSU won the last meeting, 45–38 · 2019
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) LSU
Home-field edge LSU
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Texas @ LSU
Your sims:Sims: LSU 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTEX −2.5LSU +2.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINETEX −142LSU +120
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Texas vs LSU Stats ComparisonTexas vs LSU Stats Comparison
| TexasTEX | LSULSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#64 | PPG | 40.4#7 |
| 17.8#29 | PA/G | 15.9#17 |
| 361.3#93 | YDS/G | 504#7 |
| 226.8#73 | PASS/G | 307.9#8 |
| 134.5#104 | RUSH/G | 196.1#32 |
| 5.4#104 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 41.7%#63 | 3RD DOWN | 53.3%#7 |
| 0.05#105 | OFF PPA | 0.26#22 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.9%#4 |
| 34.6%#17 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.0%#9 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 21.2% |
| 1.16#104 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#96 |
| 1890 | ELO | 1913 |
| 24.4 | SP+ | 21.7 |
| 23.6#7 | FPI | 23.0#8 |
| 18.9 | SRS | 24.8 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| -0.02#30 | DEF PPA | -0.12#5 |
THE VENUE
Tiger Stadium (LA)LocationBaton Rouge, LA
Capacity102,321
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation25 ft
FAN NEWS
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