GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDArkansasARK3–4·SEC
ARK radioRazorback Sports Network
TEX radioLonghorn Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Texas a 97% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 57–23 · Texas won the last meeting, 52–37 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TEX
Home-field edge TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas @ Texas
Your sims:Sims: TEX 0, ARK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas vs Texas Stats ComparisonArkansas vs Texas Stats Comparison
| ArkansasARK | TexasTEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 21#116 | PPG | 30.2#64 |
| 26.7#96 | PA/G | 17.8#29 |
| 343#106 | YDS/G | 361.3#93 |
| 231.4#70 | PASS/G | 226.8#73 |
| 111.6#123 | RUSH/G | 134.5#103 |
| 5#121 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#104 |
| 42.4%#54 | 3RD DOWN | 41.7%#63 |
| 0.05#108 | OFF PPA | 0.05#105 |
| 42.3%#81 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#72 |
| 43.1%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.6%#17 |
| 14.5% | RET PROD | 72.1% |
| 1.09#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#105 |
| 1515 | ELO | 1890 |
| 2.2#58 | FPI | 23.6#7 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| 0.16#111 | DEF PPA | -0.02#30 |
| -2.4 | SP+ | 24.4 |
| -0.4 | SRS | 18.9 |
THE VENUE
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumLocationAustin, TX
Capacity100,119
SurfaceTurf
Opened1924
Elevation526 ft
FAN NEWS
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