GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Texas A&MTA&M4–3·SEC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas opens a 2.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas a 56% chance.
SeriesTexas leads 71–37–5 · Texas won the last meeting, 27–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TEX
Home-field edge TA&M
Market lean TEX
Model projection TEX
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Texas @ Texas A&M
Your sims:Sims: TA&M 0, TEX 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTEX −2.5TA&M +2.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINETEX −142TA&M +120
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Texas vs Texas A&M Stats ComparisonTexas vs Texas A&M Stats Comparison
| TexasTEX | Texas A&MTA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.2#64 | PPG | 29.4#70 |
| 17.8#29 | PA/G | 17.1#27 |
| 361.3#93 | YDS/G | 356.9#97 |
| 226.8#73 | PASS/G | 195.4#103 |
| 134.5#103 | RUSH/G | 161.4#63 |
| 5.4#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#114 |
| 41.7%#63 | 3RD DOWN | 42.7%#52 |
| 0.05#105 | OFF PPA | 0.09#92 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.8%#64 |
| 34.6%#17 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.6%#31 |
| 72.1% | RET PROD | 72.8% |
| 1.16#105 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.08#132 |
| 1890 | ELO | 1739 |
| 24.4 | SP+ | 8.0 |
| 23.6#7 | FPI | 13.5#20 |
| 18.9 | SRS | 7.9 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| -0.02#30 | DEF PPA | -0.03#26 |
THE VENUE
Kyle FieldLocationCollege Station, TX
Capacity102,733
SurfaceGrass
Opened1927
Elevation357 ft
FAN NEWS
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