GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDAlabamaALA0–0·SEC
AUB radioAuburn Sports Network
ALA radioCrimson Tide Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Alabama opens a 10-point favorite. Our model gives Alabama a 73% chance.
SeriesAlabama leads 51–32–1 · Alabama won the last meeting, 27–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ALA
Market lean ALA
Model projection ALA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Auburn @ Alabama
Your sims:Sims: ALA 0, AUB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAUB +10ALA −10
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEAUB +330ALA −425
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Auburn vs Alabama Stats ComparisonAuburn vs Alabama Stats Comparison
2025 stats| AuburnAUB | AlabamaALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#74 | PPG | 29.5#49 |
| 20.7#34 | PA/G | 19.2#20 |
| 374#79 | YDS/G | 367.7#84 |
| 197.1#99 | PASS/G | 263.5#29 |
| 176.9#43 | RUSH/G | 104.2#127 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 39.2%#75 | 3RD DOWN | 41.7%#45 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| 0.17#61 | OFF PPA | 0.21#37 |
| 0.06#20 | DEF PPA | 0.07#28 |
| 43.5%#51 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.3%#54 |
| 37.4%#21 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#21 |
| 14.4% | RET PROD | 26.4% |
| 1.15#121 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#48 |
| 11.5 | SP+ | 17.6 |
| 12.0#22 | FPI | 20.1#8 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Bryant-Denny StadiumLocationTuscaloosa, AL
Capacity101,821
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation230 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
