GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDAlabamaALA5–2·SEC
AUB radioAuburn Sports Network
ALA radioCrimson Tide Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Alabama opens a 10-point favorite. Our model gives Alabama a 73% chance.
SeriesAlabama leads 51–32–1 · Alabama won the last meeting, 27–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ALA
Home-field edge ALA
Market lean ALA
Model projection ALA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Auburn @ Alabama
Your sims:Sims: ALA 0, AUB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADAUB +10ALA −10
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINEAUB +330ALA −425
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Auburn vs Alabama Stats ComparisonAuburn vs Alabama Stats Comparison
| AuburnAUB | AlabamaALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#84 | PPG | 39.3#12 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 21.4#48 |
| 393.7#67 | YDS/G | 416.6#51 |
| 211.7#91 | PASS/G | 252.7#48 |
| 182#45 | RUSH/G | 163.9#61 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#23 |
| 45.6%#33 | 3RD DOWN | 43.4%#49 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +5#15 |
| 0.10#91 | OFF PPA | 0.25#24 |
| 41.3%#90 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.0%#27 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.8%#32 |
| 14.4% | RET PROD | 26.4% |
| 1.26#50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29#37 |
| 1699 | ELO | 1934 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | 23.0 |
| 13.4#21 | FPI | 24.2#6 |
| 10.5 | SRS | 24.6 |
| 0.02#44 | DEF PPA | -0.04#22 |
THE VENUE
Bryant-Denny StadiumLocationTuscaloosa, AL
Capacity101,821
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation230 ft
FAN NEWS
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