GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDUSC radioTrojan Media Network
UCLA radioUCLA Bruins Audio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
USC opens a 10.5-point favorite. Our model gives USC a 74% chance.
SeriesUSC leads 54–34–7 · USC won the last meeting, 29–10 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) USC
Home-field edge UCLA
Market lean USC
Model projection USC
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
USC @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: UCLA 0, USC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUSC −10.5UCLA +10.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEUSC −470UCLA +360
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
USC vs UCLA Stats ComparisonUSC vs UCLA Stats Comparison
| USCUSC | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 36.4#27 | PPG | 35.5#33 |
| 25.1#80 | PA/G | 16.2#21 |
| 462.4#17 | YDS/G | 445.8#33 |
| 310.1#7 | PASS/G | 214.8#87 |
| 152.3#76 | RUSH/G | 231#12 |
| 6.7#20 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#23 |
| 51.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 48.8%#21 |
| 0.31#12 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 51.6%#7 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.3%#49 |
| 41.0%#75 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.8%#2 |
| 59.2% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.21#82 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#80 |
| 1804 | ELO | 1690 |
| 14.4 | SP+ | 15.3 |
| 14.9#17 | FPI | 11.0#31 |
| 9.5 | SRS | 17.3 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +10#5 |
| 0.14#106 | DEF PPA | -0.18#1 |
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
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