GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDWASH radioWashington Sports Network
ORE radioOregon Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oregon opens a 15.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oregon a 84% chance.
SeriesWashington leads 56–46–4 · Oregon won the last meeting, 26–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ORE
Home-field edge ORE
Market lean ORE
Model projection ORE
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Washington @ Oregon
Your sims:Sims: ORE 0, WASH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADWASH +15.5ORE −15.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEWASH +500ORE −700
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Washington vs Oregon Stats ComparisonWashington vs Oregon Stats Comparison
| WashingtonWASH | OregonORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#78 | PPG | 37#24 |
| 22.7#61 | PA/G | 20.7#42 |
| 386.7#72 | YDS/G | 420.3#49 |
| 282.7#19 | PASS/G | 283.3#18 |
| 104#131 | RUSH/G | 137#99 |
| 6#59 | YDS/PLAY | 6#59 |
| 33.3%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 37.0%#92 |
| 0.15#70 | OFF PPA | 0.13#76 |
| 42.9%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.8%#79 |
| 39.0%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.1%#21 |
| 54.4% | RET PROD | 75.3% |
| 1.26#54 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#56 |
| 1704 | ELO | 1831 |
| 7.1 | SP+ | 21.0 |
| 4.7#52 | FPI | 19.0#10 |
| 0.6 | SRS | 17.3 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -0.02#32 | DEF PPA | -0.04#15 |
THE VENUE
Autzen StadiumLocationEugene, OR
Capacity54,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1967
Elevation418 ft
FAN NEWS
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