Alabama Crimson Tide Football

Alabama opens the 2026 season against East Carolina on Saturday, Sep 5 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

The Read

Alabama opens a 27.5-point favorite. Our model gives Alabama a 96% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

ALA 96% ECU 4%

PROJECTED FINAL

Alabama

41

East Carolina

13

ALA win
96% One-score game
11%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) ALA

Home-field edge ALA

Market lean ALA

Model projection ALA

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game East Carolina @ Alabama

Your sims:Sims: ALA 0, ECU 0

@#13

East Carolina @ Alabama

Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00 AM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELALA 96% to win

ABCSIM NOW →

#13@

Alabama @ Kentucky

Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELALA 70% to win

ABCSIM NOW →

@#13

Florida State @ Alabama

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELALA 84% to win

ABCSIM NOW →

@#13

South Carolina @ Alabama

TBD

CFB VIBES MODELALA 71% to win

SIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
5	OUOklahomaOU	0–0	0–0
6	LSULSU	0–0	0–0
7	ALAAlabamaALA	0–0	0–0
8	TENNTennesseeTENN	0–0	0–0
9	MIZMissouriMIZ	0–0	0–0

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
13	ALAAlabamaALA

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
11	ALAAlabamaALA