Florida Gators Football

Florida opens the 2026 season against Florida Atlantic on Saturday, Sep 5 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

The Read

Florida opens a 26.5-point favorite. Our model gives Florida a 95% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

FLA 95% FAU 5%

PROJECTED FINAL

Florida

43

Florida Atlantic

17

FLA win
95% One-score game
12%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) FLA

Home-field edge FLA

Market lean FLA

Model projection FLA

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game Florida Atlantic @ Florida

Your sims:Sims: FLA 0, FAU 0

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Florida Atlantic @ Florida

Sat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELFLA 95% to win

SEC NetworkSIM NOW →

CAM@

Campbell @ Florida

Sat, Sep 12 · 5:30 PM EDT

CFB VIBES MODELFLA 99% to win

SIM NOW →

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Florida @ Auburn

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELFLA 54% to win

ESPNSIM NOW →

#9@

Ole Miss @ Florida

TBD

CFB VIBES MODELFLA 56% to win

SIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
10	ARKArkansasARK	0–0	0–0
11	AUBAuburnAUB	0–0	0–0
12	FLAFloridaFLA	0–0	0–0
13	UKKentuckyUK	0–0	0–0
14	MSSTMississippi StateMSST	0–0	0–0

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
–	FLAFloridaFLA

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
–	FLAFloridaFLA