GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDTennesseeTENN6–1·SEC
LSU radioLSU Sports Radio Network
TENN radioVol Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
LSU opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives LSU a 54% chance.
SeriesTennessee leads 21–10–3 · Tennessee won the last meeting, 40–13 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) LSU
Home-field edge TENN
Market lean LSU
Model projection LSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
LSU @ Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: TENN 0, LSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADLSU −1.5TENN +1.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINELSU −120TENN +100
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 12:07 PM ETNot gambling advice
LSU vs Tennessee Stats ComparisonLSU vs Tennessee Stats Comparison
| LSULSU | TennesseeTENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4#7 | PPG | 33.4#42 |
| 15.9#17 | PA/G | 14.7#9 |
| 504#7 | YDS/G | 405.1#60 |
| 307.9#8 | PASS/G | 188#110 |
| 196.1#32 | RUSH/G | 217.1#19 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 53.3%#7 | 3RD DOWN | 36.6%#96 |
| 0.26#22 | OFF PPA | 0.18#57 |
| 51.9%#4 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#52 |
| 34.0%#9 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.0%#35 |
| 21.2% | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| 1.18#95 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#101 |
| 1913 | ELO | 1832 |
| 21.7 | SP+ | 16.7 |
| 23.0#8 | FPI | 18.1#12 |
| 24.8 | SRS | 18.9 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.12#6 | DEF PPA | -0.11#7 |
THE VENUE
Neyland StadiumLocationKnoxville, TN
Capacity102,455
SurfaceGrass
Opened1921
Elevation892 ft
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