GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDMarylandMD2–5·B1G
MD radioMaryland Sports Radio Network
USC radioTrojan Media Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives USC a 89% chance.
SeriesMaryland leads 1–0 · Maryland won the last meeting, 29–28 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USC
Home-field edge USC
Model projection USC
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Maryland @ USC
Your sims:Sims: USC 0, MD 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Maryland vs USC Stats ComparisonMaryland vs USC Stats Comparison
| MarylandMD | USCUSC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.3#75 | PPG | 36.4#27 |
| 33.3#127 | PA/G | 25.1#80 |
| 377.7#80 | YDS/G | 462.4#17 |
| 244.7#54 | PASS/G | 310.1#7 |
| 133#106 | RUSH/G | 152.3#76 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#20 |
| 33.7%#115 | 3RD DOWN | 51.2%#15 |
| 0.05#108 | OFF PPA | 0.31#12 |
| 0.12#96 | DEF PPA | 0.14#106 |
| 40.1%#102 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.6%#7 |
| 43.0%#100 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.0%#75 |
| 54.0% | RET PROD | 59.2% |
| 1.27#42 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#82 |
| 1294 | ELO | 1804 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -2.0 | SP+ | 14.4 |
| -3.6#85 | FPI | 14.9#17 |
| -3.5 | SRS | 9.5 |
THE VENUE
Memorial ColiseumLocationLos Angeles, CA
Capacity77,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation139 ft
FAN NEWS
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