GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDPenn StatePSU3–4·B1G
MarylandMD2–5·B1G
PSU radioPenn State Sports Network
MD radioMaryland Sports Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Penn State a 68% chance.
SeriesPenn State leads 44–3–1 · Penn State won the last meeting, 44–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PSU
Home-field edge MD
Model projection PSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Penn State @ Maryland
Your sims:Sims: MD 0, PSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Penn State vs Maryland Stats ComparisonPenn State vs Maryland Stats Comparison
| Penn StatePSU | MarylandMD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.7#74 | PPG | 28.3#75 |
| 18.9#31 | PA/G | 33.3#127 |
| 384.1#75 | YDS/G | 377.7#80 |
| 253.4#47 | PASS/G | 244.7#54 |
| 130.7#109 | RUSH/G | 133#106 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 36.2%#102 | 3RD DOWN | 33.7%#115 |
| +4#22 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.12#83 | OFF PPA | 0.05#108 |
| 0.06#67 | DEF PPA | 0.12#91 |
| 41.6%#86 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.1%#102 |
| 39.3%#53 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#99 |
| 7.6% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.20#84 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#42 |
| 1800 | ELO | 1294 |
| 9.6 | SP+ | -2.0 |
| 11.7#28 | FPI | -3.6#85 |
| 4.9 | SRS | -3.5 |
THE VENUE
SECU StadiumLocationCollege Park, MD
Capacity51,802
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation107 ft
FAN NEWS
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