GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDARST radioRed Wolves Sports Network
LT radioBulldog Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisiana Tech a 65% chance.
SeriesLouisiana Tech leads 16–4 · Louisiana Tech won the last meeting, 47–28 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LT
Home-field edge LT
Model projection LT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas State @ Louisiana Tech
Your sims:Sims: LT 0, ARST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Arkansas State
Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Wvs Missouri State34–28Wat App State30–29Lvs Louisiana34–30Arkansas State2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)
Wvs Coastal Carolina23–14Wat Missouri State42–30Wvs Liberty34–28 (OT)Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonARST vs LT Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Arkansas StateARST | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2#87 | PPG | 27.3#71 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 20.8#35 |
| 383.3#74 | YDS/G | 359.3#88 |
| 259.8#32 | PASS/G | 164.2#121 |
| 123.5#108 | RUSH/G | 195.2#24 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 39.3%#74 | 3RD DOWN | 41.0%#53 |
| 0.09#110 | OFF PPA | 0.14#86 |
| 0.19#97 | DEF PPA | 0.04#15 |
| 41.9%#75 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 43.6%#97 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.1%#19 |
| 30.0% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.15#121 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#72 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| -11.6 | SP+ | -9.1 |
| -9.2#107 | FPI | -9.6#108 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joe Aillet StadiumLocationRuston, LA
Capacity28,019
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation239 ft
FAN NEWS
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