GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDARST radioRed Wolves Sports Network
LT radioBulldog Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisiana Tech a 65% chance.
SeriesLouisiana Tech leads 16–4 · Louisiana Tech won the last meeting, 47–28 · 2015
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LT
Home-field edge LT
Model projection LT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arkansas State @ Louisiana Tech
Your sims:Sims: LT 0, ARST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Arkansas State
Wat Southern Miss23–13Lvs South Alabama56–49Lat Louisiana23–20
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonARST vs LT Stats Comparison
| Arkansas StateARST | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4#81 | PPG | 33.3#43 |
| 26.6#95 | PA/G | 24.5#76 |
| 366#87 | YDS/G | 393#68 |
| 233#67 | PASS/G | 239.8#58 |
| 133#106 | RUSH/G | 153.2#74 |
| 5.9#64 | YDS/PLAY | 6#57 |
| 45.1%#36 | 3RD DOWN | 42.3%#55 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +5#15 |
| 0.16#64 | OFF PPA | 0.12#82 |
| 48.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.2%#100 |
| 45.0%#117 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 30.0% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.13#119 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#15 |
| 1321 | ELO | 1405 |
| 0.14#104 | DEF PPA | -0.00#37 |
| -8.0 | SP+ | -5.9 |
| -8.5#99 | FPI | -3.7#87 |
| -7.7 | SRS | 0.1 |
THE VENUE
Joe Aillet StadiumLocationRuston, LA
Capacity28,019
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation239 ft
FAN NEWS
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