GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 68% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 6–4–1 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 24–22 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge NEV
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
New Mexico @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: NEV 0, UNM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3New Mexico
New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs Minnesota20–17 (OT)Wvs San Diego State23–17 (OT)Wat Air Force20–3New Mexico2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
New Mexico vs Nevada Stats ComparisonNew Mexico vs Nevada Stats Comparison
2025 stats| New MexicoUNM | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1#73 | PPG | 17.6#128 |
| 22.3#46 | PA/G | 27.5#87 |
| 357.2#90 | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| 204.8#92 | PASS/G | 147.2#127 |
| 152.4#76 | RUSH/G | 155.2#73 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 39.4%#72 | 3RD DOWN | 32.1%#127 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.03#127 |
| 0.10#45 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 40.8%#88 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.1%#120 |
| 39.5%#46 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 58.2% | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| 1.25#55 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| −6#108 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| 0.0 | SP+ | -11.7 |
| -3.5#81 | FPI | -11.9#116 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about New Mexico or Nevada?
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MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
