GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·New MexicoUNM5–1·MWC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 87% chance.
SeriesUNLV leads 15–13 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 40–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNM
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonUNLV vs New Mexico Stats Comparison
| UNLVUNLV | New MexicoUNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1#94 | PPG | 39.7#10 |
| 23.7#70 | PA/G | 10.5#1 |
| 371.3#83 | YDS/G | 377.5#82 |
| 200#99 | PASS/G | 163#127 |
| 171.3#52 | RUSH/G | 214.5#21 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#64 |
| 41.3%#68 | 3RD DOWN | 41.6%#65 |
| 0.08#98 | OFF PPA | 0.16#63 |
| 37.9%#124 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.8%#85 |
| 40.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.4%#1 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 58.2% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#44 |
| 1489 | ELO | 1677 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +17#1 |
| 0.07#70 | DEF PPA | -0.15#2 |
| -3.4 | SP+ | 10.6 |
| -2.1#78 | FPI | 7.8#43 |
| -3.9 | SRS | 7.2 |
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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