GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·New MexicoUNM0–0·MWC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives New Mexico a 51% chance.
SeriesUNLV leads 15–13 · New Mexico won the last meeting, 40–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNM
Model projection UNM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ New Mexico
Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs New Mexico Stats ComparisonUNLV vs New Mexico Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UNLVUNLV | New MexicoUNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1#17 | PPG | 27.1#73 |
| 28#89 | PA/G | 22.3#46 |
| 446.8#21 | YDS/G | 357.2#90 |
| 250.9#42 | PASS/G | 204.8#92 |
| 195.9#23 | RUSH/G | 152.4#76 |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 45.2%#28 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#72 |
| 0.30#17 | OFF PPA | 0.16#74 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.10#45 |
| 46.6%#23 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.8%#88 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.5%#46 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 58.2% |
| 1.36#14 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#55 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | −6#108 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | 0.0 |
| 1.8#58 | FPI | -3.5#81 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
University Stadium (NM)LocationAlbuquerque, NM
Capacity39,224
SurfaceTurf
Opened1960
Elevation5,100 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
