New Mexico Lobos Football

New Mexico opens the 2026 season against Central Michigan on Saturday, Sep 5 at University Stadium (NM).

The Read

New Mexico opens a 10.5-point favorite. Our model gives New Mexico a 75% chance.

WIN PROBABILITY

UNM 75% CMU 25%

PROJECTED FINAL

New Mexico

29

Central Michigan

18

UNM win
75% One-score game
33%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) UNM

Home-field edge UNM

Market lean UNM

Model projection UNM

Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.

Sim the game Central Michigan @ New Mexico

Your sims:Sims: UNM 0, CMU 0

@

Central Michigan @ New Mexico

Sat, Sep 5 · 8:00 PM MDT

CFB VIBES MODELUNM 75% to win

FS1SIM NOW →

MERC@

Mercyhurst @ New Mexico

Sat, Sep 12 · 2:00 PM MDT

CFB VIBES MODELUNM 97% to win

SIM NOW →

@#10

New Mexico @ Oklahoma

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CDT

CFB VIBES MODELOU 92% to win

ESPN2SIM NOW →

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New Mexico @ New Mexico State

Sat, Sep 26 · 1:30 PM MDT

CFB VIBES MODELUNM 81% to win

CBSSNSIM NOW →

Standings

Full standings →

Place	TEAM	CONF	OVERALL
3	HAWHawai'iHAW	0–0	0–1
4	NEVNevadaNEV	0–0	0–0
5	UNMNew MexicoUNM	0–0	0–0
6	NIUNorthern IllinoisNIU	0–0	0–0
7	SJSUSan José StateSJSU	0–0	0–1

Rankings

All rankings →

Rank	AP TOP 25
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	NDNotre DameND
–	UNMNew MexicoUNM

Rank	COACHES
1	OSUOhio StateOSU
2	OREOregonORE
3	UGAGeorgiaUGA
4	TEXTexasTEX
–	UNMNew MexicoUNM