GAME DAY
Week 12 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 67% chance.
SeriesSan José State leads 20–8–1 · UNLV won the last meeting, 27–16 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UNLV @ San José State
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, UNLV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UNLV vs San José State Stats ComparisonUNLV vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| UNLVUNLV | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1#94 | PPG | 21.4#111 |
| 23.7#70 | PA/G | 21.7#50 |
| 371.3#83 | YDS/G | 384.7#74 |
| 200#99 | PASS/G | 246#53 |
| 171.3#52 | RUSH/G | 138.7#96 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 41.3%#68 | 3RD DOWN | 34.4%#111 |
| 0.08#98 | OFF PPA | 0.13#77 |
| 0.07#70 | DEF PPA | 0.07#70 |
| 37.9%#124 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#97 |
| 40.2%#62 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.1%#101 |
| 15.4% | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| 1.25#61 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#102 |
| 1489 | ELO | 1380 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -0.9 | SP+ | -12.2 |
| -2.1#78 | FPI | -12.5#112 |
| -3.9 | SRS | -13.1 |
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
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