GAME DAY
Week 13 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 67% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 25–17 · UNLV won the last meeting, 42–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nevada @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, NEV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nevada vs UNLV Stats ComparisonNevada vs UNLV Stats Comparison
| NevadaNEV | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26#88 | PPG | 24.1#94 |
| 23.5#66 | PA/G | 23.7#70 |
| 361.8#92 | YDS/G | 371.3#83 |
| 171.8#122 | PASS/G | 200#99 |
| 190#39 | RUSH/G | 171.3#52 |
| 5.7#82 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 37.2%#89 | 3RD DOWN | 41.3%#68 |
| 0.08#96 | OFF PPA | 0.08#97 |
| 0.13#102 | DEF PPA | 0.07#70 |
| 40.2%#101 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.9%#124 |
| 39.3%#53 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.2%#62 |
| 35.5% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.30#32 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#61 |
| 1420 | ELO | 1489 |
| −8#134 | TO MARGIN | +0#70 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | -0.9 |
| -8.4#98 | FPI | -2.1#78 |
| -8.5 | SRS | -3.9 |
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
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