GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UNLV a 88% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 25–17 · UNLV won the last meeting, 42–17 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UNLV
Home-field edge UNLV
Model projection UNLV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nevada @ UNLV
Your sims:Sims: UNLV 0, NEV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UNLV
UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lvs Memphis27–21UNLV2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nevada vs UNLV Stats ComparisonNevada vs UNLV Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NevadaNEV | UNLVUNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.6#128 | PPG | 34.1#17 |
| 27.5#87 | PA/G | 28#89 |
| 302.4#126 | YDS/G | 446.8#21 |
| 147.2#127 | PASS/G | 250.9#42 |
| 155.2#73 | RUSH/G | 195.9#23 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 32.1%#127 | 3RD DOWN | 45.2%#28 |
| 0.03#127 | OFF PPA | 0.30#17 |
| 0.19#90 | DEF PPA | 0.21#111 |
| 37.1%#120 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.6%#23 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.1%#104 |
| 35.5% | RET PROD | 15.4% |
| 1.21#90 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#14 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| -11.7 | SP+ | 3.6 |
| -11.9#116 | FPI | 1.8#58 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Allegiant StadiumLocationLas Vegas, NV
Capacity65,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation2,185 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Nevada or UNLV?
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
