GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsWIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SJSU win
28% One-score game
34%
28% One-score game
34%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge SJSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Dakota St @ San José St
Your sims:Sims: SJSU 0, NDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)San José State
San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat USC42–26San José State2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Dakota State vs San José State Stats ComparisonNDSU vs SJSU Stats Comparison
| North Dakota StateNDSU | San José StateSJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | PPG | 26 |
| 7 | PA/G | 42 |
| 373 | YDS/G | 336 |
| 164 | PASS/G | 234 |
| 209 | RUSH/G | 102 |
| 5.6 | YDS/PLAY | 6 |
| 35.7% | 3RD DOWN | 45.5% |
| +1 | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| 0.22 | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| 42.0% | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9% |
| 30.9% | DEF SUCCESS | 66.2% |
| 1.10 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22 |
| -0.32 | DEF PPA | 0.39 |
| – | RET PROD | 3.8% |
| -1.8 | SP+ | -15.7 |
| -8.3#100 | FPI | -14.3#124 |
THE VENUE
CEFCU StadiumLocationSan Jose, CA
Capacity30,456
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation93 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about North Dakota State or San José State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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