GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDGeorgiaUGA6–1·SEC
Ole MissMISS5–1·SEC
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MISS radioOle Miss Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Georgia opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Georgia a 61% chance.
SeriesGeorgia leads 34–15–1 · Ole Miss won the last meeting, 39–34 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) UGA
Home-field edge MISS
Market lean UGA
Model projection UGA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Georgia @ Ole Miss
Your sims:Sims: MISS 0, UGA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUGA −4.5MISS +4.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINEUGA −218MISS +180
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Georgia vs Ole Miss Stats ComparisonGeorgia vs Ole Miss Stats Comparison
| GeorgiaUGA | Ole MissMISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 43#2 | PPG | 37.5#20 |
| 15.9#17 | PA/G | 23.8#72 |
| 469.9#15 | YDS/G | 444.5#35 |
| 272.1#28 | PASS/G | 290.7#12 |
| 197.7#31 | RUSH/G | 153.8#72 |
| 7.7#2 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 53.9%#6 | 3RD DOWN | 47.9%#24 |
| 0.36#3 | OFF PPA | 0.28#17 |
| 51.9%#4 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.9%#4 |
| 35.4%#22 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.8%#98 |
| 68.7% | RET PROD | 50.3% |
| 1.27#47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#108 |
| 2023 | ELO | 1935 |
| 28.3 | SP+ | 15.9 |
| 26.7#3 | FPI | 18.8#11 |
| 20.9 | SRS | 17.6 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| -0.01#36 | DEF PPA | 0.11#84 |
THE VENUE
Vaught-Hemingway StadiumLocationOxford, MS
Capacity64,038
SurfaceGrass
Opened1915
Elevation482 ft
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