GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDKentuckyUK6–1·SEC
TennesseeTENN6–1·SEC
UK radioUK Sports Network
TENN radioVol Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Tennessee a 78% chance.
SeriesTennessee leads 84–25–9 · Tennessee won the last meeting, 56–34 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TENN
Home-field edge TENN
Model projection TENN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kentucky @ Tennessee
Your sims:Sims: TENN 0, UK 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kentucky vs Tennessee Stats ComparisonKentucky vs Tennessee Stats Comparison
| KentuckyUK | TennesseeTENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#46 | PPG | 33.4#42 |
| 25.9#92 | PA/G | 14.7#9 |
| 387.9#71 | YDS/G | 405.1#60 |
| 221.7#79 | PASS/G | 188#110 |
| 166.1#56 | RUSH/G | 217.1#19 |
| 6.1#53 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 29.1%#136 | 3RD DOWN | 36.6%#96 |
| +11#3 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.19#47 | OFF PPA | 0.18#57 |
| 48.3%#24 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#52 |
| 43.9%#112 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.0%#35 |
| 19.3% | RET PROD | 35.3% |
| 1.14#112 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#101 |
| 1599 | ELO | 1832 |
| 8.0 | SP+ | 16.7 |
| 12.7#26 | FPI | 18.1#12 |
| 15.3 | SRS | 18.9 |
| 0.03#51 | DEF PPA | -0.11#7 |
THE VENUE
Neyland StadiumLocationKnoxville, TN
Capacity102,455
SurfaceGrass
Opened1921
Elevation892 ft
FAN NEWS
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