GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDTennesseeTENN6–1·SEC
Texas A&MTA&M4–3·SEC
TENN radioVol Network
TA&M radioTexas A&M Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas A&M opens a 8.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas A&M a 70% chance.
SeriesTennessee leads 3–2 · Tennessee won the last meeting, 20–13 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TENN
Home-field edge TA&M
Market lean TA&M
Model projection TA&M
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Tennessee @ Texas A&M
Your sims:Sims: TA&M 0, TENN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTENN +8.5TA&M −8.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINETENN +285TA&M −360
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Tennessee vs Texas A&M Stats ComparisonTennessee vs Texas A&M Stats Comparison
| TennesseeTENN | Texas A&MTA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4#42 | PPG | 29.4#70 |
| 14.7#9 | PA/G | 17.1#27 |
| 405.1#60 | YDS/G | 356.9#97 |
| 188#110 | PASS/G | 195.4#103 |
| 217.1#19 | RUSH/G | 161.4#63 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#114 |
| 36.6%#96 | 3RD DOWN | 42.7%#53 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| 0.18#55 | OFF PPA | 0.09#92 |
| 44.9%#52 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.8%#64 |
| 37.0%#34 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.6%#31 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 72.8% |
| 1.17#100 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.08#132 |
| 1832 | ELO | 1739 |
| 16.7 | SP+ | 8.0 |
| 18.1#12 | FPI | 13.5#20 |
| 18.9 | SRS | 7.9 |
| -0.11#7 | DEF PPA | -0.03#27 |
THE VENUE
Kyle FieldLocationCollege Station, TX
Capacity102,733
SurfaceGrass
Opened1927
Elevation357 ft
FAN NEWS
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