GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDCFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Nevada a 53% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 1–1 · Nevada won the last meeting, 35–31 · 1994
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NEV
Home-field edge NIU
Model projection NEV
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nevada @ Northern Illinois
Your sims:Sims: NIU 0, NEV 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)
Lvs Kent State35–31Lvs Western Michigan35–19Wat Massachusetts45–3Northern Illinois2025: 3–9 (2–6 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nevada vs Northern Illinois Stats ComparisonNevada vs NIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| NevadaNEV | Northern IllinoisNIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.6#128 | PPG | 17.1#129 |
| 27.5#87 | PA/G | 24.3#64 |
| 302.4#126 | YDS/G | 284.4#133 |
| 147.2#127 | PASS/G | 98.8#134 |
| 155.2#73 | RUSH/G | 185.6#29 |
| 5#117 | YDS/PLAY | 4.6#129 |
| 32.1%#127 | 3RD DOWN | 31.8%#129 |
| 0.03#127 | OFF PPA | 0.05#125 |
| 0.19#90 | DEF PPA | 0.19#89 |
| 37.1%#120 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.7%#131 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 44.4%#109 |
| 35.5% | RET PROD | 43.7% |
| 1.21#90 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -11.7 | SP+ | -17.2 |
| -11.9#116 | FPI | -14.5#125 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Huskie StadiumLocationDeKalb, IL
Capacity23,595
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation877 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Nevada or Northern Illinois?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 11 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
