GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Dakota State a 98% chance.
SeriesNorth Dakota State leads 2–0 · North Dakota State won the last meeting, 28–0 · 1969
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NDSU win
98% One-score game
4%
98% One-score game
4%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge NDSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ North Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: NDSU 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Northern Illinois
Lat Wyoming41–23Lvs Air Force28–7Lat Georgia State35–14
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Illinois vs North Dakota State Stats ComparisonNIU vs NDSU Stats Comparison
| Northern IllinoisNIU | North Dakota StateNDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.2#137 | PPG | 29.4#70 |
| 35.7#132 | PA/G | 11.3#2 |
| 307.7#130 | YDS/G | 362#91 |
| 206.7#95 | PASS/G | 187.3#112 |
| 101#133 | RUSH/G | 174.7#51 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 30.9%#128 | 3RD DOWN | 41.3%#68 |
| 37.0%#128 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.3%#91 |
| 49.9%#136 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.5%#28 |
| 1.20#87 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#55 |
| 1139 | ELO | 1634 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +8#6 |
| -0.07#132 | OFF PPA | 0.13#77 |
| 0.22#122 | DEF PPA | -0.14#3 |
| 43.7% | RET PROD | – |
| -23.5 | SP+ | 8.6 |
| -20.1#131 | FPI | -0.2#71 |
| -20.1 | SRS | 2.4 |
THE VENUE
FargodomeLocationFargo, ND
Capacity18,700
SurfaceTurf
Opened1992
Elevation901 ft
FAN NEWS
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