GAME DAY
Week 12 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives North Dakota State a 88% chance.
SeriesNorth Dakota State leads 2–0 · North Dakota State won the last meeting, 28–0 · 1969
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
NDSU win
88% One-score game
21%
88% One-score game
21%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge NDSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Northern Illinois @ North Dakota St
Your sims:Sims: NDSU 0, NIU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Dakota State
North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)
Wvs Jacksonville State33–7North Dakota State2026: 1–0 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Northern Illinois vs North Dakota State Stats ComparisonNIU vs NDSU Stats Comparison
| Northern IllinoisNIU | North Dakota StateNDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 33 |
| – | PA/G | 7 |
| – | YDS/G | 373 |
| – | PASS/G | 164 |
| – | RUSH/G | 209 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.6 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 35.7% |
| – | TO MARGIN | +1 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.22 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.32 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 42.0% |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 30.9% |
| 43.7% | RET PROD | – |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.10 |
| -17.2 | SP+ | -1.8 |
| -14.5#125 | FPI | -8.3#100 |
THE VENUE
FargodomeLocationFargo, ND
Capacity18,700
SurfaceTurf
Opened1992
Elevation901 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Northern Illinois or North Dakota State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
