GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDHawai'iHAW0–1·MWC
HAW radioHawaii Sports Radio Network
NEV radioWolf Pack Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Hawai'i a 62% chance.
SeriesNevada leads 14–13 · Hawai'i won the last meeting, 34–13 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) HAW
Home-field edge NEV
Model projection HAW
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Hawai'i @ Nevada
Your sims:Sims: NEV 0, HAW 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Hawai'i
Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)
Lat Stanford37–27Hawai'i2026: 0–1 (0–0 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Hawai'i vs Nevada Stats ComparisonHawai'i vs Nevada Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Hawai'iHAW | NevadaNEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 29#56 | PPG | 17.6#128 |
| 24.1#61 | PA/G | 27.5#87 |
| 395.3#61 | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| 290.6#8 | PASS/G | 147.2#127 |
| 104.7#126 | RUSH/G | 155.2#73 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 44.9%#29 | 3RD DOWN | 32.1%#127 |
| 0.17#67 | OFF PPA | 0.03#127 |
| 0.16#76 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 41.0%#85 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.1%#120 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.6%#87 |
| 64.5% | RET PROD | 35.5% |
| 1.32#27 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| −2#81 | TO MARGIN | −12#129 |
| -2.6 | SP+ | -11.7 |
| -2.4#76 | FPI | -11.9#116 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mackay StadiumLocationReno, NV
Capacity27,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1966
Elevation4,615 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Hawai'i or Nevada?
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MORE WEEK 12 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
