GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CincinnatiCIN4–2·B12
UTAH radioUtah Sports Radio Network
CIN radioBearcats Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Utah a 80% chance.
SeriesUtah leads 1–0 · Utah won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UTAH
Home-field edge CIN
Model projection UTAH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Utah @ Cincinnati
Your sims:Sims: CIN 0, UTAH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelUTAH 80%MarketUTAH 76%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $735 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Utah vs Cincinnati Stats ComparisonUtah vs Cincinnati Stats Comparison
| UtahUTAH | CincinnatiCIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 40.2#8 | PPG | 35.2#36 |
| 14.8#12 | PA/G | 26.8#97 |
| 486.7#9 | YDS/G | 460#19 |
| 266.3#33 | PASS/G | 228.8#72 |
| 220.3#16 | RUSH/G | 231.2#11 |
| 6.8#14 | YDS/PLAY | 7#10 |
| 53.2%#8 | 3RD DOWN | 49.4%#19 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +5#16 |
| 0.27#20 | OFF PPA | 0.34#8 |
| 49.3%#17 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#33 |
| 33.5%#8 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.5%#110 |
| 67.9% | RET PROD | 8.3% |
| 1.29#35 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.39#10 |
| 1901 | ELO | 1466 |
| 23.5 | SP+ | 5.3 |
| 17.4#13 | FPI | 3.5#56 |
| 18.5 | SRS | 3.3 |
| -0.03#24 | DEF PPA | 0.19#116 |
THE VENUE
Nippert StadiumLocationCincinnati, OH
Capacity40,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1915
Elevation755 ft
FAN NEWS
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