GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·ArizonaARIZ5–1·B12
Texas TechTTU6–0·B12
ARIZ radioWildcat Sports Network
TTU radioRed Raider Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Texas Tech a 74% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 27–5–2 · Texas Tech won the last meeting, 28–22 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TTU
Home-field edge TTU
Model projection TTU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arizona @ Texas Tech
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, ARIZ 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelTTU 74%MarketTTU 75%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $376 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona vs Texas Tech Stats ComparisonArizona vs Texas Tech Stats Comparison
| ArizonaARIZ | Texas TechTTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.7#29 | PPG | 37.8#17 |
| 19#32 | PA/G | 17.7#28 |
| 456.5#21 | YDS/G | 422.5#45 |
| 303.8#10 | PASS/G | 229.8#71 |
| 152.7#75 | RUSH/G | 192.7#37 |
| 6.8#14 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 55.6%#4 | 3RD DOWN | 42.9%#51 |
| 0.24#29 | OFF PPA | 0.21#42 |
| 49.4%#15 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.5%#22 |
| 35.0%#20 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 64.9% | RET PROD | 53.4% |
| 1.22#77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.12#119 |
| 1719 | ELO | 1891 |
| 15.2 | SP+ | 21.6 |
| 10.5#33 | FPI | 19.4#9 |
| 12.3 | SRS | 16.7 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.04#18 | DEF PPA | -0.06#12 |
THE VENUE
Jones AT&T StadiumLocationLubbock, TX
Capacity60,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation3,218 ft
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