GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·FloridaFLA0–0·SEC
GeorgiaUGA0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Georgia opens a 12.5-point favorite in Atlanta. Our model gives Georgia a 78% chance.
SeriesGeorgia leads 58–44–2 · Georgia won the last meeting, 24–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Neutral site EVEN
Market lean UGA
Model projection UGA
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Florida vs Georgia
Your sims:Sims: UGA 0, FLA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADFLA +12.5UGA −12.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEFLA +410UGA −550
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Florida vs Georgia Stats ComparisonFlorida vs Georgia Stats Comparison
2025 stats| FloridaFLA | GeorgiaUGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6#111 | PPG | 32.1#28 |
| 24#60 | PA/G | 17.6#10 |
| 341.3#104 | YDS/G | 402.6#52 |
| 204.6#93 | PASS/G | 220.2#77 |
| 136.8#91 | RUSH/G | 182.4#35 |
| 5.4#92 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 34.4%#113 | 3RD DOWN | 43.4%#35 |
| 0.14#87 | OFF PPA | 0.24#24 |
| 0.17#81 | DEF PPA | 0.09#37 |
| 42.9%#62 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.1%#18 |
| 42.9%#91 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.7%#37 |
| 69.1% | RET PROD | 68.7% |
| 1.10#133 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#123 |
| 15.2 | SP+ | 26.4 |
| 13.6#18 | FPI | 24.8#5 |
| −1#77 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Mercedes-Benz StadiumLocationAtlanta, GA
Capacity75,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2017
Elevation1,010 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 9 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
