GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·WisconsinWIS4–2·B1G
WIS radioBadger Radio Network
IOWA radioHawkeye Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa a 66% chance.
SeriesWisconsin leads 49–48–2 · Iowa won the last meeting, 37–0 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) IOWA
Home-field edge IOWA
Model projection IOWA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wisconsin @ Iowa
Your sims:Sims: IOWA 0, WIS 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelIOWA 66%MarketIOWA 67%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $530 traded · as of Oct 20, 12:20 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Wisconsin vs Iowa Stats ComparisonWisconsin vs Iowa Stats Comparison
| WisconsinWIS | IowaIOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.5#80 | PPG | 31#61 |
| 16.7#24 | PA/G | 14.5#8 |
| 351.8#103 | YDS/G | 403.2#62 |
| 199.7#101 | PASS/G | 209.2#93 |
| 152.2#80 | RUSH/G | 194#36 |
| 6#57 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 42.3%#55 | 3RD DOWN | 39.4%#80 |
| 0.14#73 | OFF PPA | 0.18#56 |
| 39.8%#106 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.3%#49 |
| 35.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.4%#14 |
| 31.0% | RET PROD | 34.2% |
| 1.39#11 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.23#72 |
| 1656 | ELO | 1853 |
| 10.5 | SP+ | 13.0 |
| 9.0#39 | FPI | 13.1#25 |
| 8.1 | SRS | 12.4 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +2#47 |
| -0.07#11 | DEF PPA | -0.02#30 |
THE VENUE
Kinnick StadiumLocationIowa City, IA
Capacity69,250
SurfaceTurf
Opened1929
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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