GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·Ole MissMISS5–1·SEC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Ole Miss a 70% chance.
SeriesAuburn leads 35–13 · Ole Miss won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MISS
Home-field edge MISS
Model projection MISS
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Auburn @ Ole Miss
Your sims:Sims: MISS 0, AUB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMISS 70%MarketMISS 68%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,049 traded · as of Oct 20, 1:00 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Auburn vs Ole Miss Stats ComparisonAuburn vs Ole Miss Stats Comparison
| AuburnAUB | Ole MissMISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#84 | PPG | 37.5#20 |
| 21.8#54 | PA/G | 23.8#72 |
| 393.7#67 | YDS/G | 444.5#36 |
| 211.7#91 | PASS/G | 290.7#12 |
| 182#45 | RUSH/G | 153.8#72 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 45.6%#33 | 3RD DOWN | 47.9%#24 |
| 0.10#91 | OFF PPA | 0.28#17 |
| 0.02#44 | DEF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 41.3%#90 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.9%#4 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.8%#98 |
| 14.4% | RET PROD | 50.3% |
| 1.26#50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#108 |
| 1699 | ELO | 1935 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | 15.9 |
| 13.4#21 | FPI | 18.8#11 |
| 10.5 | SRS | 17.6 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
THE VENUE
Vaught-Hemingway StadiumLocationOxford, MS
Capacity64,038
SurfaceGrass
Opened1915
Elevation482 ft
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