GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·IllinoisILL3–3·B1G
MarylandMD2–5·B1G
ILL radioIllini Sports Network
MD radioMaryland Sports Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Illinois a 58% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 2–2 · Illinois won the last meeting, 24–6 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ILL
Home-field edge MD
Model projection ILL
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois @ Maryland
Your sims:Sims: MD 0, ILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois vs Maryland Stats ComparisonIllinois vs Maryland Stats Comparison
| IllinoisILL | MarylandMD | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8#51 | PPG | 28.3#75 |
| 27.8#106 | PA/G | 33.3#127 |
| 405.5#59 | YDS/G | 377.7#80 |
| 254.7#44 | PASS/G | 244.7#54 |
| 150.8#81 | RUSH/G | 133#106 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 44.8%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 33.7%#115 |
| 0.23#30 | OFF PPA | 0.05#108 |
| 0.25#128 | DEF PPA | 0.12#91 |
| 50.1%#13 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.1%#102 |
| 45.5%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#99 |
| 21.1% | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| 1.25#60 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#42 |
| 1536 | ELO | 1294 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 5.8 | SP+ | -2.0 |
| 4.4#53 | FPI | -3.6#85 |
| 2.3 | SRS | -3.5 |
THE VENUE
SECU StadiumLocationCollege Park, MD
Capacity51,802
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation107 ft
FAN NEWS
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