GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·NebraskaNEB5–2·B1G
IllinoisILL3–3·B1G
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Nebraska a 67% chance.
SeriesNebraska leads 14–7–1 · Illinois won the last meeting, 31–24 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NEB
Home-field edge ILL
Model projection NEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Nebraska @ Illinois
Your sims:Sims: ILL 0, NEB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Nebraska vs Illinois Stats ComparisonNebraska vs Illinois Stats Comparison
| NebraskaNEB | IllinoisILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.6#32 | PPG | 31.8#51 |
| 15.4#16 | PA/G | 27.8#106 |
| 430.1#41 | YDS/G | 405.5#59 |
| 235.7#62 | PASS/G | 254.7#44 |
| 194.4#34 | RUSH/G | 150.8#81 |
| 6#59 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 50.5%#16 | 3RD DOWN | 44.8%#39 |
| 0.25#26 | OFF PPA | 0.23#30 |
| 44.8%#54 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.1%#13 |
| 34.6%#17 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.5%#119 |
| 46.3% | RET PROD | 21.1% |
| 1.40#6 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#60 |
| 1767 | ELO | 1536 |
| 16.9 | SP+ | 5.8 |
| 17.1#15 | FPI | 4.4#53 |
| 16.7 | SRS | 2.3 |
| +6#13 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| -0.03#26 | DEF PPA | 0.25#128 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationChampaign, IL
Capacity60,670
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation732 ft
FAN NEWS
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