GAME DAY
Week 11 · ·IllinoisILL3–3·B1G
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCLA a 79% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 6–6 · Illinois won the last meeting, 20–14 · 2011
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UCLA
Home-field edge UCLA
Model projection UCLA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Illinois @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: UCLA 0, ILL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Illinois vs UCLA Stats ComparisonIllinois vs UCLA Stats Comparison
| IllinoisILL | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.8#51 | PPG | 35.5#33 |
| 27.8#106 | PA/G | 16.2#21 |
| 405.5#59 | YDS/G | 445.8#33 |
| 254.7#44 | PASS/G | 214.8#87 |
| 150.8#81 | RUSH/G | 231#12 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 6.6#23 |
| 44.8%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 48.8%#21 |
| 0.23#30 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 50.1%#13 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.3%#49 |
| 45.5%#119 | DEF SUCCESS | 32.8%#2 |
| 21.1% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.25#60 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#80 |
| 1536 | ELO | 1690 |
| 5.8 | SP+ | 15.3 |
| 4.4#53 | FPI | 11.0#31 |
| 2.3 | SRS | 17.3 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +10#5 |
| 0.25#128 | DEF PPA | -0.18#1 |
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
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