GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDIllinoisILL3–3·B1G
IOWA radioHawkeye Radio Network
ILL radioIllini Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Iowa a 59% chance.
SeriesIllinois leads 39–38–2 · Iowa won the last meeting, 15–13 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) IOWA
Home-field edge ILL
Model projection IOWA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa @ Illinois
Your sims:Sims: ILL 0, IOWA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa vs Illinois Stats ComparisonIowa vs Illinois Stats Comparison
| IowaIOWA | IllinoisILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 31#61 | PPG | 31.8#51 |
| 14.5#8 | PA/G | 27.8#106 |
| 403.2#62 | YDS/G | 405.5#59 |
| 209.2#93 | PASS/G | 254.7#44 |
| 194#36 | RUSH/G | 150.8#81 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 6.5#28 |
| 39.4%#80 | 3RD DOWN | 44.8%#39 |
| 0.18#55 | OFF PPA | 0.23#30 |
| 45.3%#49 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.1%#13 |
| 34.4%#13 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.5%#119 |
| 34.2% | RET PROD | 21.1% |
| 1.23#73 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#60 |
| 1853 | ELO | 1536 |
| 13.0 | SP+ | 5.8 |
| 13.1#25 | FPI | 4.4#53 |
| 12.4 | SRS | 2.3 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| -0.02#30 | DEF PPA | 0.25#128 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationChampaign, IL
Capacity60,670
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation732 ft
FAN NEWS
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