GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·MemphisMEM1–0·AAC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Memphis a 65% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 18–8 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 31–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MEM
Home-field edge MEM
Model projection MEM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
East Carolina @ Memphis
Your sims:Sims: MEM 0, ECU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Memphis
Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)
Wat UNLV27–21Memphis2026: 1–0 (0–0 AAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
East Carolina vs Memphis Stats ComparisonECU vs Memphis Stats Comparison
2025 stats| East CarolinaECU | MemphisMEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#24 | PPG | 32.5#25 |
| 20.1#25 | PA/G | 23.2#52 |
| 449#19 | YDS/G | 411.5#36 |
| 272.7#21 | PASS/G | 228.4#65 |
| 176.3#46 | RUSH/G | 183.2#32 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 47.2%#15 | 3RD DOWN | 41.7%#45 |
| +10#11 | TO MARGIN | +7#21 |
| 0.19#49 | OFF PPA | 0.24#24 |
| 0.05#16 | DEF PPA | 0.17#78 |
| 45.8%#29 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.9%#39 |
| 37.6%#24 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.9%#59 |
| 13.6% | RET PROD | 5.6% |
| 1.16#118 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#33 |
| -2.3 | SP+ | 0.3 |
| -0.6#68 | FPI | -1.9#74 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumLocationMemphis, TN
Capacity58,325
SurfaceTurf
Opened1965
Elevation297 ft
FAN NEWS
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