GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·TEM radioOwl Sports Network
ECU radioPirate Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives East Carolina a 71% chance.
SeriesEast Carolina leads 12–10 · East Carolina won the last meeting, 45–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ECU
Home-field edge ECU
Model projection ECU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Temple @ East Carolina
Your sims:Sims: ECU 0, TEM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3East Carolina
East Carolina2026: 3–3 (1–1 AAC)
Lat UAB30–17 (OT)Wvs Rice28–12Wvs North Carolina Central42–9
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
East Carolina66%
Temple32%
CFB Vibes ModelECU 71%MarketECU 66%
Market 5 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 20, 9:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Temple vs East Carolina Stats ComparisonTemple vs ECU Stats Comparison
| TempleTEM | East CarolinaECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.7#89 | PPG | 23.5#99 |
| 28#108 | PA/G | 23.8#72 |
| 386#73 | YDS/G | 339.5#112 |
| 183.6#115 | PASS/G | 183.7#114 |
| 202.4#28 | RUSH/G | 155.8#69 |
| 6.6#23 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#114 |
| 41.7%#63 | 3RD DOWN | 31.3%#125 |
| 43.1%#75 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.8%#125 |
| 46.2%#122 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.2%#12 |
| 37.0% | RET PROD | 13.6% |
| 1.27#46 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#88 |
| 1298 | ELO | 1432 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| 0.21#41 | OFF PPA | -0.01#124 |
| 0.20#121 | DEF PPA | -0.04#17 |
| -6.5 | SP+ | -1.3 |
| -9.3#104 | FPI | -5.2#90 |
| -9.8 | SRS | -11.5 |
THE VENUE
Dowdy-Ficklen StadiumLocationGreenville, NC
Capacity50,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1963
Elevation63 ft
FAN NEWS
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